Champions League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95fb068fa06569a494a450005795b0ff99d098edcbfff04552ec7c2978e3466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 7,500$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.2 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 3,236$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.77 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 2,618$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.59 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 2,381$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.96 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.97 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 63c | 1,547$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 47c | 1,400$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.05 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 1,242$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.36 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 1,036$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.17 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 26c | 895.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 30c | 788.47$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.93 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 38c | 642.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 621$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.59 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 33c | 600$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 580.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 479.59$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 475.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 70c | 390$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 64c | 305$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 73c | 303.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 288$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 37c | 233.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 77c | 213$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 210.19$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 202.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 159.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 129.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 102.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 70c | 98.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 87.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…e1bfbacked Yes | 58c | 79.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 63c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 71c | 60.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Yes | 49c | 58.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 39c | 54.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 53.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 47.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 54c | 46.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 46.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 45.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…fa42backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 37c | 38.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 37c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…802bbacked No | 69c | 18.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 64c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?this page
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.