MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd126dbe52d26b4be58b92b62cc74b8e12ce7261b5112cf87b709c06346a4a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Pirates | 58c | 142,555$83,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,085.82 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 42c | 30,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked White Sox | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 42c | 13,300$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed White Sox | 41c | 11,522$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.98 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 42c | 8,874$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,144.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 42c | 8,205$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 67c | 7,774$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 43c | 5,814$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 58c | 5,117$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.66 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked White Sox | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 57c | 4,727$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.32 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed White Sox | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 27c | 2,771$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.15 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked White Sox | 42c | 2,581$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.98 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 56c | 2,323$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.88 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pirates | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed White Sox | 79c | 1,762$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed White Sox | 43c | 1,600$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 17c | 1,541$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked White Sox | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox | 44c | 1,144$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.44 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pirates | 56c | 1,097$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.59 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked White Sox | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 45c | 880$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed White Sox | 77c | 654.31$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked White Sox | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 42c | 531$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Pirates | 6c | 527.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 41c | 522$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked White Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Pirates | 57c | 437$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox | 42c | 420$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed White Sox | 70c | 410$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 43c | 400$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 45c | 397.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pirates | 26c | 387.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 45c | 342$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Pirates | 52c | 331.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed White Sox | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 56c | 295$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 4c | 282.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 42c | 232$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed Pirates | 58c | 223.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Pirates | 57c | 220.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 57c | 202$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 75c | 165$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox | 68c | 161.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed White Sox | 61c | 114$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed White Sox | 43c | 113.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed White Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed White Sox | 62c | 109.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 69c | 103.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pirates | 55c | 97.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox | 44c | 96.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked White Sox | 74c | 95.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed White Sox | 72c | 79.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed White Sox | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Pirates | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed White Sox | 44c | 57.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…fe2abacked Pirates | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 61cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed White Sox | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…14b2backed White Sox | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates | 60c | 49.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Pirates | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed White Sox | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed White Sox | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Pirates | 56c | 42.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…e137backed Pirates | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…bf0bbacked White Sox | 45c | 39.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Pirates | 57c | 38.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Pirates | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Pirates | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…599dbacked Pirates | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Pirates | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed White Sox | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.