Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010ab3f660f55d4f1ad5fb8b7fd74e61794260f7ee8f2491863cbf4aa0d04def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 0c | 21,840$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…b82cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 32c | 1,058$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.68 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 657.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 8c | 343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 294.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 31c | 268.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…2295backed Yes | 39c | 258.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 245.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 212.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 200.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 188.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…4965backed Yes | 23c | 179.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 157.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 35c | 157.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 31c | 141.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 140.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 125.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 32c | 123.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed Yes | 26c | 121.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 110.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 24c | 109.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 19c | 107.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 98.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 29c | 91.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 22c | 84.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 18c | 82.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…18e8backed Yes | 27c | 81.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 65c | 76.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 74.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 20c | 70.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 23c | 65.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 68c | 62.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…befdbacked Yes | 34c | 59.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 30c | 58.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…ff3ebacked Yes | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 30c | 57.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 57.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 20c | 54.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 67c | 53.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 67c | 53.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…c5eabacked Yes | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 36c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…d948backed Yes | 21c | 48.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 26c | 46.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 65c | 45.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 43.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…9390backed Yes | 30c | 41.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 69c | 41.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 35c | 41.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 30c | 39.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Yes | 27c | 37.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…b6ecbacked Yes | 45c | 37.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…333bbacked No | 73c | 35.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 31c | 35.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…7b83backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 33c | 33.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 31.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 64c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 48c | 28.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…908fbacked Yes | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…f2e3backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 67c | 22.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 61c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed No | 74c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 79c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.