CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06132ac42c8201d9233828f6ef728df841f35234bbad42652e810b4ec3b1f093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked TDK | 39c | 26,634$10,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,447.41 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 16,578$10,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.42 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 11,867$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.7 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TDK | 38c | 9,136$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.78 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 5,089$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.57 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 5,061$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.29 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed TDK | 40c | 3,296$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.59 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed TDK | 23c | 1,841$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,681$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.25 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,621$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.42 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 44c | 1,546$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.77 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed TDK | 39c | 1,449$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.17 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked TDK | 35c | 1,438$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.45 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,400$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked TDK | 39c | 1,336$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed TDK | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 46c | 1,148$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…22eabacked TDK | 38c | 1,020$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 998.99$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 912.71$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed TDK | 39c | 888$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 22c | 860.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 26c | 721.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed TDK | 39c | 640.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed TDK | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…d1a1backed TDK | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed TDK | 39c | 599$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TDK | 39c | 597.44$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked TDK | 38c | 561.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 501.87$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 500.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TDK | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed TDK | 38c | 485$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed TDK | 30c | 421.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TDK | 40c | 409.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed TDK | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 52c | 396.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 359.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TDK | 39c | 344.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…cae7backed TDK | 42c | 341.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 320$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked TDK | 39c | 307.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 305$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked TDK | 39c | 302.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked TDK | 52c | 292.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed TDK | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed TDK | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked TDK | 38c | 237.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed TDK | 15c | 217.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed TDK | 32c | 215.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed TDK | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked TDK | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 8c | 173$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TDK | 35c | 168.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TDK | 24c | 166.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b01…95aebacked TDK | 24c | 165.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed TDK | 39c | 165.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…6df4backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 135.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 135.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 133.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed TDK | 39c | 129.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked TDK | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 118.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 117.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…8b87backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 113.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 105.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked TDK | 41c | 100.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TDK | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 28c | 96.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked TDK | 42c | 79.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed TDK | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…3398backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 73.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 69.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked TDK | 31c | 68.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 66.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed TDK | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed TDK | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed TDK | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 55.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TDK | 40c | 55.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed TDK | 23c | 55.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked TDK | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked TDK | 38c | 51.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.