Tennis · resolved market
Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08811f5de26e1c5391413fcae5cab05aead74dc2fd0502fb7d5ff8980330a18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Federico Coria, Taro Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Coria | 8c | 13,713$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Federico Coria | 7c | 6,730$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federico Coria | 15c | 4,827$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Taro Daniel | 76c | 2,642$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.96 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Federico Coria | 8c | 2,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Federico Coria | 8c | 2,316$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Taro Daniel | 76c | 1,965$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.28 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Coria | 2c | 1,723$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Taro Daniel | 68c | 1,587$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Federico Coria | 30c | 1,516$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Taro Daniel | 77c | 1,471$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Coria | 17c | 1,375$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Federico Coria | 31c | 1,284$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Federico Coria | 18c | 1,132$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Federico Coria | 33c | 1,080$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Federico Coria | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Federico Coria | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Coria | 6c | 892.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 676.46$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Coria | 21c | 649.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Coria | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Taro Daniel | 73c | 521$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Federico Coria | 16c | 410$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Taro Daniel | 69c | 362.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Taro Daniel | 69c | 345$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Federico Coria | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 15.5%15 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Federico Coria | 31c | 288.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Federico Coria | 31c | 288.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Taro Daniel | 76c | 268.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 266.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Taro Daniel | 79c | 225.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federico Coria | 15c | 222.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 211.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 276 | 67%185 W · 91 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 191.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Federico Coria | 9c | 173.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Federico Coria | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 159.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Taro Daniel | 70c | 156.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Taro Daniel | 78c | 152.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 139.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Taro Daniel | 78c | 127.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Federico Coria | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Taro Daniel | 68c | 106.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Taro Daniel | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Federico Coria | 33c | 90.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 80.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Federico Coria | 23c | 70.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Federico Coria | 16c | 69.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 65.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Taro Daniel | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Federico Coria | 33c | 57.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Federico Coria | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Taro Daniel | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Federico Coria | 22c | 46.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Federico Coria | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Taro Daniel | 66c | 42.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Federico Coria | 29c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Taro Daniel | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Taro Daniel | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Taro Daniel | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…77a0backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…acfabacked Taro Daniel | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Danielthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Coria vs DanielDaniel won
- Set Handicap: Daniel (-1.5) vs Coria (+1.5)Daniel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.