MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118842f0edcac441f8c700437096c314c4eb0b388814af154052e34a6e37a901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 10,994$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.1 | 554 | 53.2%295 W · 259 L | +22.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 3,346$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.78 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 56c | 2,968$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.99 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 2,551$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,999$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.31 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,979$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.03 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 1,414$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,011$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.76 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.59 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 961.73$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.21 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 844.19$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 57c | 776$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 721.84$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 48c | 575.24$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 545.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 545.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 490$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 481.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 446.73$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 50c | 391.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 800 | 55.8%446 W · 354 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 378.84$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 347.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 300.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 297.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 280.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 276.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 269.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 209.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 672 | 48.5%326 W · 346 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 185.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 177.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 176$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 52c | 153.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 63c | 130.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 118.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…ad02backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 41c | 114.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 39c | 107.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 102.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 52c | 92.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 82.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 3,018 | 48%1,448 W · 1,570 L | +14.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 78.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 69.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 2,423 | 49.9%1,208 W · 1,215 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 67.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 49c | 61.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 60.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 59.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 50.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,314 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L | +26.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 62c | 48.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 810 | 55.1%446 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 45.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Under | 52c | 37.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 32.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…4f16backed Under | 50c | 31.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 52c | 31.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 52c | 28.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Under | 49c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 27.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 52c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 337 | 46.6%157 W · 180 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 53c | 26.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,045 | 52%543 W · 502 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,003 | 24.7%248 W · 755 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2c54backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 49c | 24.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…c770backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.