TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf58…5073backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c21,208$7,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c14,683$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,810.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c7,594$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes69c7,433$5,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.1117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c4,603$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No46c4,143$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.9666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No62c3,874$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.422,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes77c3,424$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.2814030.7%43 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Yes4c3,009$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.456216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes64c2,692$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.3462633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No43c2,340$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes6c2,154$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes7c1,748$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.279740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No75c1,603$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1621759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No74c1,542$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.542,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked No56c1,499$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.6922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes8c1,303$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes80c1,287$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7112144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c1,084$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.221,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes50c1,071$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5834438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No60c1,065$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1164850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes6c999.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes7c914.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes11c877.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6322731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes65c862.25$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.7563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes57c696.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c629.93$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.822,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes7c616.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c576$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed No50c564.68$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.347057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes6c554.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.881,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes55c509.83$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1824539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes22c433.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes51c423.08$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7710743%46 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes7c421.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes7c345.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2129341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed No43c325.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8136534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes5c325$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6833937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed No31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5812033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed No31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.584143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f0…2896backed Yes52c309.71$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9418231.9%58 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0529558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes7c299.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes10c296.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.762,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No42c254.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.751,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes8c237.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.422,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No45c210.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.031,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes5c208$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429430.3%89 W · 205 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes7c195$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1636335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes42c186$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0936139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No71c182.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.892,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8211566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes8c172.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c145.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c144.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3722959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No34c144.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.125942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No27c139.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3446047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c136.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes9c126$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8432639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No52c115.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.121,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed No50c107$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712829.7%38 W · 90 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611343.4%49 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked No51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918751.9%97 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7d…dcdcbacked Yes47c99.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.732025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Yes47c99.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.926152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No60c98.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed No54c90.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7422242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Yes49c88.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4310251%52 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…e9bebacked Yes49c86.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.597034.3%24 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked Yes49c85.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.775347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015345.8%70 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No19c83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2333237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No40c79.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes41c78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9887938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9915…eae1backed Yes78c70.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc848…537bbacked No45c68.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.355463%34 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes62c63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.272,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3a1abacked Yes48c62.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes59c52.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.971,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No35c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3735034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x725b…68c2backed Yes67c44.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No35c43.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0337323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked No47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1447029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed No49c40.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.944852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked No45c40.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No49c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.