TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Tigers60c20,003$12,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000.7727948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Tigers56c11,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,159.6821941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians42c10,921$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,358.621,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Tigers58c10,718$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,216.191540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians40c9,622$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,773.3724553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Guardians44c9,033$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.0811746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians45c8,971$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.7614747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Tigers62c8,329$5,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.814858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians36c6,929$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.972,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Tigers64c6,408$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.4216151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians44c4,623$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.6716352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians41c4,619$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.52,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers57c3,876$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.621356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers66c3,780$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians31c3,578$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.821,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians41c3,410$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.131,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers52c3,387$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.351,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Tigers59c3,041$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.4411463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Guardians45c3,017$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.5923752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Guardians37c2,642$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.581850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers56c2,104$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.3873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers59c2,077$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.6739041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Guardians24c2,037$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.4118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Guardians43c2,029$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Tigers56c2,008$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.483046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Guardians44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Guardians24c1,957$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.9731248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers56c1,918$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.5568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers41c1,852$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers54c1,850$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians42c1,261$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.6776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers56c890$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians39c844.67$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6714047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers67c837.21$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers72c832$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4424844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians12c611.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.91,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Tigers65c526.81$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians44c520$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.227751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Guardians48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Guardians41c499.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tigers63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers69c463.56$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3215256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Guardians66c454.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.274856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Guardians33c447.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.941,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Tigers44c399.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.424146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Guardians44c378$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.688156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Guardians14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.144146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Guardians17c353.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4513021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e4…51debacked Guardians29c353.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Tigers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…54e8backed Guardians29c342.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Guardians49c322.56$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Tigers49c318.44$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Guardians35c302$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.851,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a9…356abacked Tigers52c297$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.442015%3 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Tigers73c289.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0640548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Guardians14c285.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7119233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.55666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians15c250$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.512314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers56c209.26$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.922,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Guardians30c175$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Tigers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Tigers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Guardians66c125.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3911058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Tigers48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1417927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Guardians32c104.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4419849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6351151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5520448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Guardians21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2420645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba8…3c3bbacked Guardians23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Guardians44c86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Tigers59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…9b68backed Tigers55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.253540%14 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Guardians43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.881,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5238743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Guardians37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.817732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Tigers67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…ac06backed Guardians42c52.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.382744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Tigers57c52.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Tigers28c48.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Tigers57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Tigers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tigers64c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1470…83bdbacked Tigers58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Guardians47c37.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2813262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Guardians49c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Guardians44c36.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3625954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Tigers57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Guardians43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8838245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Guardians42c34.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Tigers73c33.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.868543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa55b…d5ccbacked Tigers79c33.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.082744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Guardians42c31.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1943250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.