Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1561398c4d1bdcbaadba808afcf9e827d393adbd72be0aa42119aa9f9452feba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloane Stephensof Solana Sierra, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Solana Sierra | 14c | 14,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Solana Sierra | 31c | 11,932$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.03 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Solana Sierra | 52c | 10,045$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.13 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Solana Sierra | 5c | 6,986$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Solana Sierra | 44c | 6,711$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.44 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sloane Stephens | 51c | 5,631$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.71 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…71c0backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 4,204$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 3,030$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.15 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 2,529$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.02 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Solana Sierra | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sloane Stephens | 63c | 1,930$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sloane Stephens | 49c | 1,724$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.94 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sloane Stephens | 63c | 1,709$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Solana Sierra | 35c | 1,633$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.42 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sloane Stephens | 71c | 1,585$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Sloane Stephens | 41c | 1,458$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.33 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sloane Stephens | 75c | 1,331$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Solana Sierra | 7c | 1,306$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sloane Stephens | 52c | 1,008$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Solana Sierra | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Solana Sierra | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sloane Stephens | 48c | 997.83$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Solana Sierra | 7c | 960.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sloane Stephens | 66c | 889.11$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Solana Sierra | 20c | 872.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Sloane Stephens | 62c | 786.5$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Sloane Stephens | 28c | 714.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 503.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 495.74$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Sloane Stephens | 76c | 443.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Solana Sierra | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Solana Sierra | 42c | 394.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 373.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sloane Stephens | 74c | 348.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Solana Sierra | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Solana Sierra | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Solana Sierra | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Solana Sierra | 50c | 265.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Solana Sierra | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sloane Stephens | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Sloane Stephens | 51c | 238.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sloane Stephens | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Solana Sierra | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Sloane Stephens | 52c | 226.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sloane Stephens | 46c | 208.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Solana Sierra | 17c | 207.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Solana Sierra | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 182.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sloane Stephens | 49c | 182.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Sloane Stephens | 47c | 174$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Solana Sierra | 20c | 166.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Sloane Stephens | 78c | 160.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Sloane Stephens | 72c | 155.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 152.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Solana Sierra | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 149$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Sloane Stephens | 78c | 143.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 141.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Sloane Stephens | 62c | 138.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sloane Stephens | 73c | 129.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Solana Sierra | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Solana Sierra | 16c | 117.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Solana Sierra | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 114.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Sloane Stephens | 50c | 108.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Sloane Stephens | 59c | 103.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Solana Sierra | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sloane Stephens | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed Solana Sierra | 68c | 95.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Sloane Stephens | 53c | 94.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Solana Sierra | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sloane Stephens | 60c | 80.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Solana Sierra | 51c | 74.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sloane Stephens | 49c | 70.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Solana Sierra | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Sloane Stephens | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Solana Sierra | 24c | 60.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Sloane Stephens | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 58.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Sloane Stephens | 51c | 52.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Sloane Stephens | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 46.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 43.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 37.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Solana Sierra | 72c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Sloane Stephens | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Solana Sierra | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Solana Sierra | 55c | 31.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Sloane Stephens | 64c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…68dabacked Sloane Stephens | 64c | 30.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Solana Sierra | 53c | 27.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs StephensStephens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.