South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158512e91727ea0d0d5b78ec7e816c7e7c5297f381c89f82ece87677eb7d4e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 5,841$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 41c | 3,899$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.55 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 1,870$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 54c | 1,725$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 64c | 1,638$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 70c | 1,390$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.06 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 41c | 1,320$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 1,286$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.67 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 1,057$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 900.67$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 68c | 710.88$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.61 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 49c | 566.84$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 375.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 374$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 324.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 51c | 323.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 30c | 285.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 284.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 22c | 277.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 20c | 244.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 71c | 220$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 169.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 157.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 156.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 68c | 144.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 25c | 132.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 57c | 132$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 131.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 76c | 129.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 126.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 124.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 43c | 94.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 52c | 91.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 61c | 87.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Over | 26c | 85.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 30c | 85.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Over | 49c | 79.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 65.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 41c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 45.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 44.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 52c | 42.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 64c | 32.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 43c | 27.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 69c | 17.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: CA Unión 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.