Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Vadym Ursu vs Tiago Pereira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7bc211838dc6a940134d375d88dfebe5e01d64fe3a82896bf72cd0bc3a8858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiago Pereiraof Vadym Ursu, Tiago Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vadym Ursu | 31c | 1,480$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.73 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Vadym Ursu | 27c | 1,434$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.77 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tiago Pereira | 63c | 1,359$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Pereira | 64c | 1,285$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tiago Pereira | 69c | 1,189$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tiago Pereira | 71c | 1,113$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.76 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Vadym Ursu | 57c | 827$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vadym Ursu | 26c | 644.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Vadym Ursu | 31c | 499.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…69d8backed Tiago Pereira | 44c | 495.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Vadym Ursu | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Tiago Pereira | 38c | 399.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Vadym Ursu | 58c | 330.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tiago Pereira | 39c | 294.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vadym Ursu | 29c | 275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Tiago Pereira | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Vadym Ursu | 12c | 259.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tiago Pereira | 71c | 246.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Tiago Pereira | 41c | 245.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Vadym Ursu | 41c | 240.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Vadym Ursu | 31c | 231.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vadym Ursu | 23c | 206.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Tiago Pereira | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Vadym Ursu | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Vadym Ursu | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tiago Pereira | 77c | 199.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vadym Ursu | 53c | 182.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Vadym Ursu | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tiago Pereira | 65c | 156.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Vadym Ursu | 45c | 127.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Tiago Pereira | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Tiago Pereira | 64c | 120.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Tiago Pereira | 54c | 119.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Vadym Ursu | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tiago Pereira | 65c | 112.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Tiago Pereira | 37c | 108$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tiago Pereira | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Vadym Ursu | 53c | 99.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Vadym Ursu | 25c | 96.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Vadym Ursu | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Vadym Ursu | 28c | 90.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Tiago Pereira | 78c | 86.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Tiago Pereira | 46c | 84.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tiago Pereira | 79c | 73.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Tiago Pereira | 75c | 70.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Vadym Ursu | 27c | 69.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Vadym Ursu | 27c | 55.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Vadym Ursu | 28c | 51.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Tiago Pereira | 57c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Tiago Pereira | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Tiago Pereira | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tiago Pereira | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Vadym Ursu | 41c | 48.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Vadym Ursu | 42c | 47.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Tiago Pereira | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tiago Pereira | 39c | 44.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Tiago Pereira | 74c | 43.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vadym Ursu | 60c | 39.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiago Pereira | 59c | 39.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Vadym Ursu | 29c | 35.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tiago Pereira | 46c | 32.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Tiago Pereira | 71c | 30.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Tiago Pereira | 53c | 29.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Tiago Pereira | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Tiago Pereira | 76c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Tiago Pereira | 52c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Tiago Pereira | 52c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Tiago Pereira | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Tiago Pereira | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tiago Pereira | 73c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Tiago Pereira | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Vadym Ursu | 65c | 16.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.