MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e9d9dc86727d9992bb3242da3e69f11d2f80cc6a578164c1d1b5a4b640abcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 30,047$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 29,606$19,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 23,786$11,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,156.62 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 20,223$10,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.74 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 18,266$9,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 15,930$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 12,737$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.84 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 8,648$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.87 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 8,167$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.9 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 7,476$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 6,978$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.23 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 6,346$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,537$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.12 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 5,412$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.28 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 5,393$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 5,283$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,000$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.91 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 4,999$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.19 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,969$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 4,487$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,164$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,108$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.4 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,061$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.42 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,027$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,585$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,291$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,613$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,612$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.98 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,454$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 2,193$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.62 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,161$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 2,131$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,942$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.71 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,895$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.54 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,751$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.06 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,634$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,544$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,420$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.66 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,404$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.09 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,372$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.82 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,336$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.24 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,328$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.27 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,200$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,100$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.77 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.44 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,009$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 998.55$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.23 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 876.25$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.58 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 871$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 866.45$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 865.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 853.37$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 828.05$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…9fedbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 798.7$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 747$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 670$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 609.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 4c | 605.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 584.5$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 583.33$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 524.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 519.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.87 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 492$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.27 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 430$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 429.28$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 409.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 401.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 399.47$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 385.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 368.58$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 347$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 319.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 317.06$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 309.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 301$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 283.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 279.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 278.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 275.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 266.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 252.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 225$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 219.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 219.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 218$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 217.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-6.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 16.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.