Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6775dda1d64d930c016b346a6f69c48f026fe418fe04eb2ac11d2815f9026c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 36c | 1,260$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.42 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 600.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 34c | 451.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 23c | 392.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…ace3backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 29c | 285.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 58c | 260$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…b5eebacked Yes | 29c | 257.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 32c | 256.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 227.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 223.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 18c | 210.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 36c | 199.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed No | 14c | 174.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 164.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 162.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…143fbacked Yes | 78c | 157.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 288 | 29.5%85 W · 203 L | +32.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 72c | 138.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 138.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 75c | 133.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 130.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 126.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 123.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 114.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 107.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 74c | 107$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 77c | 100.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 42c | 98.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 25c | 97.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 37c | 90.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 90.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 77.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…b143backed Yes | 71c | 76.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…fefebacked No | 65c | 75.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 75.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 25c | 75.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 68.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 23c | 66.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 60c | 51.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 50.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 30c | 49.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 73c | 48.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 45c | 46.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 39c | 44.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 52c | 44.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 25c | 43.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 43.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 39.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 30c | 36.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 36.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 33c | 35.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 34.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 66c | 31.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…8c1cbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 375 | 32.8%123 W · 252 L | +36.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 75c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 60c | 20.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 71c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…254cbacked Yes | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 15.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…40a6backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…7dc5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.