Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d0d885cbc37293f7eeabf3db4d5ea0aa57ee398b4a98cf9c6aa62794c8fdcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,099$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…8fcabacked No | 57c | 877.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 621.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 73c | 620.33$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.16 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 496.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 9c | 487.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 451.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…ddeabacked Yes | 25c | 418.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4ad7backed No | 69c | 364.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed No | 14c | 319.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 310.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.06 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 21c | 263.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…e5c9backed Yes | 30c | 215.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 196.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 77c | 195$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 187.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 10c | 174.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 14c | 174.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 78c | 170.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 167.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 162.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 159.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…c974backed No | 62c | 143.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 27c | 140.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 15c | 139.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 27c | 134.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 32c | 125.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 120.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 60c | 112.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 75c | 111.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 76c | 107.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 104.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 25c | 102.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 91.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 88.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…3359backed Yes | 50c | 75.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 18c | 74.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 29c | 71.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 25c | 62.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 60.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 26c | 60.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 19c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 69c | 57.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…c69cbacked Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…4030backed Yes | 28c | 53.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 51.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 73c | 50.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 48.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 48.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 26c | 47.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 42c | 37.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 70c | 37.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked Yes | 28c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 33.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f9febacked Yes | 52c | 33.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…2c1dbacked No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 41c | 31.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 71c | 31.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…91e6backed No | 73c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 43c | 26.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 69c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fb…4bfdbacked Yes | 74c | 21.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 70c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.