Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323096f54ebf9342ad0e92630fa3db60858efbb0f7566564006e11cf2b78ce19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f64…9600backed No | 1c | 3,333$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…a97ebacked No | 68c | 3,154$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.96 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 2c | 2,408$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 65c | 2,324$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.42 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,864$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.61 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 1,295$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.78 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 1,272$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.13 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 1,173$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.71 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,147$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…1b0dbacked No | 4c | 988.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked Yes | 11c | 971.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 48c | 963.03$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.14 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 836.23$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 6c | 732.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.89 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 11c | 659.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 64c | 627.59$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 31c | 577.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 34c | 568.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 549.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 535.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.79 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 68c | 486.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 22c | 455.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 66c | 421.68$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 45c | 406.83$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 394.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 24c | 383.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 368.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 20c | 347.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 346.78$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 3c | 339.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 331.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.24 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 65c | 311.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 65c | 289.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…0db3backed Yes | 80c | 258.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 15c | 251.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 41c | 238.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 221.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 55c | 213.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 71c | 211.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…0c8abacked No | 77c | 191.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 27c | 185.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 26c | 176.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 51c | 174.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 18c | 165.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 7c | 164.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…7ababacked No | 47c | 163.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 7c | 159.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…3741backed Yes | 7c | 155$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +352%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 61c | 154.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 141.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…adbabacked No | 70c | 137.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 136.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 121.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 64c | 119.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 116.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…fea9backed Yes | 65c | 114.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…e31abacked No | 58c | 106.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 28c | 105.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked Yes | 26c | 95.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…1a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 94.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 41c | 92.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 12c | 90$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 12c | 85.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…bcc3backed Yes | 25c | 79.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…e774backed Yes | 35c | 78.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 58c | 77.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 28c | 76.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 79c | 76.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…9a4fbacked Yes | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 36c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 14c | 69.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 19c | 66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 48c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 77c | 61.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 64c | 60.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 33c | 60.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 76c | 59.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 56.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 79c | 50.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 50.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 49.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…8dbabacked Yes | 41c | 48.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 49c | 38.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 43c | 38.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 38.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.