TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers61c7,828$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics39c6,410$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.438,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics62c4,200$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6041,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers37c3,184$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.451,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers38c2,661$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.232,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Detroit Tigers39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics62c2,078$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.864,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Detroit Tigers39c1,410$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.261,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers38c1,194$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.414,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics62c1,044$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.146,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics63c1,020$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.4792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics62c613.74$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics28c604.55$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics61c518.99$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.592,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics43c464.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.821,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers60c463.98$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.595,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics42c409$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.654,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Detroit Tigers38c315.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7913743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Detroit Tigers39c309.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4426747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Detroit Tigers38c289.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4729344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Athletics38c265.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Athletics63c230.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics61c206.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.565,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Athletics63c204.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3857747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Detroit Tigers38c159.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.116139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Athletics63c159.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Athletics63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Athletics63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers38c135$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.756440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Detroit Tigers38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.589945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Athletics63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011855.9%66 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Athletics63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Athletics63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics61c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.12,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Athletics22c94.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Athletics64c93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics62c88.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9485949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers57c87.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Athletics63c78.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers38c74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8871650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Athletics61c68.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.961,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers46c65.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.658,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Athletics63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Athletics63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035353.8%190 W · 163 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Detroit Tigers63c61.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5822867.1%153 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Athletics62c60.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2319654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Athletics63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7950647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers39c58.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9724444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Athletics63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed Detroit Tigers41c46.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Athletics68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers71c43.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.583,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked Athletics61c42.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9422653.1%120 W · 106 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Athletics39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics62c38.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics62c37.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers38c36.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Detroit Tigers37c33.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4239250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2149…51bfbacked Athletics39c33.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132572%18 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Detroit Tigers39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers38c32.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1468942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Athletics63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Athletics63c30.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1818248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Athletics71c24.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6273355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Detroit Tigers68c22.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Athletics63c22.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics62c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.646,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Athletics63c21.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Athletics65c21.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Athletics61c20.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7522448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Athletics63c20.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9929255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Detroit Tigers72c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.735440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics62c20.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.412,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Athletics67c18.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2563954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Athletics63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Athletics71c14.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.