TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b3a…c980backed Pelicans11c125,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans11c20,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pelicans9c9,876$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.5656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Warriors79c4,696$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.8448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Pelicans23c4,537$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans12c4,471$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.228341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans8c4,001$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pelicans12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9919350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c3,622$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.338783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans2c3,460$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.420031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans12c3,044$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans12c3,000$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans5c2,973$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans9c2,343$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0766…3e65backed Pelicans13c2,029$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Warriors77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans1c1,844$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Pelicans10c1,490$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Pelicans4c1,479$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.341323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3072…86b6backed Pelicans9c1,400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+88.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10e2…40b9backed Pelicans21c1,389$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Pelicans23c1,321$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans15c1,310$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Pelicans15c1,297$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.239625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans21c1,217$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans10c1,210$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Pelicans10c1,129$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.936026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Pelicans12c1,118$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.112015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans11c1,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Pelicans10c913.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans6c900.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0415613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc635…0675backed Pelicans12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Pelicans13c807.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Pelicans11c800.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Pelicans11c733.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.145127.5%14 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Pelicans4c665$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans14c549.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Pelicans10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Pelicans10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans20c471.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.31,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b91…6f8ebacked Pelicans11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011043.6%48 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5087…4ad6backed Pelicans10c430$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314939.6%59 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans4c411.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.837011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be9…8cd1backed Pelicans11c409.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512354.5%67 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Pelicans11c360$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.615538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb06…72b6backed Pelicans13c323.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Pelicans11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6e…c082backed Pelicans10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012350.4%62 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b5…c856backed Pelicans12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans21c267.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Pelicans10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615244.7%68 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Pelicans15c259.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.152138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Pelicans10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2c86…0ae2backed Pelicans10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512039.2%47 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc90b…b81abacked Pelicans12c234.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…541dbacked Pelicans10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111945.4%54 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ea…d560backed Pelicans12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Pelicans12c208.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans13c205.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans15c205$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2522939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efa…6a09backed Pelicans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014546.9%68 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed Pelicans11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213243.9%58 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x794c…628ebacked Pelicans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Pelicans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pelicans13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c2…0396backed Pelicans13c192.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…39a4backed Pelicans10c190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x095c…889bbacked Pelicans10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812851.6%66 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31bf…6577backed Pelicans10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans10c168.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f60…92debacked Pelicans12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974c…53d8backed Pelicans19c160.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Pelicans12c146.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Pelicans11c138.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans13c133$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6d…acb5backed Pelicans11c128.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Warriors79c126.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Warriors80c126$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27376.7%56 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4644…0d73backed Warriors70c122$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb062…d3cfbacked Pelicans30c122$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Warriors80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Pelicans13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.915640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Pelicans17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x235e…04d1backed Pelicans32c117$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…49e8backed Warriors68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed Pelicans13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d3…1df6backed Warriors66c115$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…a542backed Pelicans34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d8…b07dbacked Warriors63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…7143backed Pelicans37c112$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.