NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x376d4100acfb02a4c17c0e5cb836247ce53445821f18a8a88afcb5959ddf9969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b3a…c980backed Pelicans | 11c | 125,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 11c | 20,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pelicans | 9c | 9,876$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.56 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 79c | 4,696$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.84 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Pelicans | 23c | 4,537$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans | 12c | 4,471$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.2 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 8c | 4,001$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pelicans | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,622$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 2c | 3,460$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans | 12c | 3,044$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.88 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 12c | 3,000$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans | 5c | 2,973$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pelicans | 9c | 2,343$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Pelicans | 13c | 2,029$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,844$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,490$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Pelicans | 4c | 1,479$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…40b9backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,389$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Pelicans | 23c | 1,321$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,310$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 1,297$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,217$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,210$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,129$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,118$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans | 11c | 1,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Pelicans | 10c | 913.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 6c | 900.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…0675backed Pelicans | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Pelicans | 13c | 807.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Pelicans | 11c | 800.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Pelicans | 11c | 733.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pelicans | 4c | 665$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 14c | 549.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Pelicans | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Pelicans | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 20c | 471.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…6f8ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Pelicans | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 4c | 411.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Pelicans | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Pelicans | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Pelicans | 13c | 323.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Pelicans | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Pelicans | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…c856backed Pelicans | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 21c | 267.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Pelicans | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Pelicans | 15c | 259.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed Pelicans | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…b81abacked Pelicans | 12c | 234.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Pelicans | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Pelicans | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Pelicans | 12c | 208.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans | 13c | 205.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans | 15c | 205$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Pelicans | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…628ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pelicans | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…0396backed Pelicans | 13c | 192.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…39a4backed Pelicans | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…889bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6577backed Pelicans | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans | 10c | 168.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…92debacked Pelicans | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…53d8backed Pelicans | 19c | 160.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Pelicans | 12c | 146.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Pelicans | 11c | 138.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…acb5backed Pelicans | 11c | 128.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Warriors | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Warriors | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…0d73backed Warriors | 70c | 122$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…d3cfbacked Pelicans | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Pelicans | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…04d1backed Pelicans | 32c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…49e8backed Warriors | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Pelicans | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1df6backed Warriors | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…a542backed Pelicans | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…b07dbacked Warriors | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…7143backed Pelicans | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.