World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391b420f65a4f7ca73f141345d70adbd22fd62c06e30f716ef4fb90924766385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 700$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 73c | 597.24$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 65c | 394$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 30c | 387.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 31c | 319.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 18c | 274.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742a…fa07backed Yes | 27c | 271.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 11c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 33c | 236.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 201.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 185.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 69c | 185.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 177.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…0f28backed No | 71c | 162.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 31c | 155.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 132.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 131.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 30c | 124.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 122.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 15c | 121.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +123%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…463dbacked Yes | 30c | 111.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 57c | 105.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 104.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 34c | 99.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 94.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 93.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 93.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 30c | 90.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 84.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 37c | 80.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 74.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 69c | 68.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 71c | 56.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 24c | 51.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 50.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 49.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 31c | 49.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…f4c7backed No | 75c | 46.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…33bcbacked Yes | 32c | 46.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 59c | 45.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6124…181abacked No | 66c | 42.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 26c | 42.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 29c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…9737backed No | 67c | 41.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 77c | 40.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…2215backed No | 66c | 39.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 36.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…f608backed Yes | 36c | 36.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 35.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 34c | 34.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…7481backed Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…5c82backed Yes | 34c | 31.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…ff26backed No | 73c | 31.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…7c64backed Yes | 35c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 72c | 30.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 72c | 28.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c217backed No | 71c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 26.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 26.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 73c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…b6a5backed No | 68c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…73eebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…ad8dbacked No | 72c | 19.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 66c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 66c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…ef13backed No | 68c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…2433backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…040ebacked No | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.