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Tennis · resolved market

Philadelphia: Fiona Crawley vs Julia Grabher

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Julia Grabherof Fiona Crawley, Julia Grabher
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Fiona Crawley31c39,021$12,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,146.671,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Fiona Crawley38c20,611$7,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.44,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Julia Grabher64c20,039$12,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.911,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Julia Grabher68c15,311$10,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.579,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Julia Grabher65c11,632$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.7322260.4%134 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Julia Grabher70c6,904$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.6718045.6%82 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Grabher70c6,771$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.838,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Julia Grabher68c4,853$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.975,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Fiona Crawley16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,15045.4%522 W · 628 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Julia Grabher67c2,555$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1516165.2%105 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Fiona Crawley31c2,407$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.125,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Julia Grabher66c2,138$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.837630.3%23 W · 53 L-10.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Fiona Crawley36c2,100$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.943,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fiona Crawley34c1,917$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.383,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Fiona Crawley25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45078055.4%432 W · 348 L+52.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb3…04dbbacked Julia Grabher73c1,680$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.54666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Fiona Crawley36c1,672$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.22,36952.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L+87.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Julia Grabher48c1,530$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.751947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f38…eb70backed Julia Grabher50c1,470$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Julia Grabher60c1,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602,80453.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L+71.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Fiona Crawley28c1,081$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3326440.2%106 W · 158 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Fiona Crawley3c990$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6921717.1%37 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Julia Grabher56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8640756%228 W · 179 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a8…9362backed Julia Grabher34c825.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafef…f50ebacked Fiona Crawley50c784.36$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.95341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked Julia Grabher65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.237857.7%45 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Fiona Crawley32c737.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23751548.5%250 W · 265 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Fiona Crawley5c690.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2518822.9%43 W · 145 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Julia Grabher73c673.49$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.845251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Fiona Crawley10c671.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.138731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Julia Grabher62c646.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5913855.1%76 W · 62 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Julia Grabher62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1615351%78 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fiona Crawley37c641.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.091,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Julia Grabher41c634.15$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.151,00640%402 W · 604 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Fiona Crawley3c627$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.449011.1%10 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fiona Crawley40c597.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6411,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Julia Grabher58c577.84$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5823141.1%95 W · 136 L-22.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Fiona Crawley49c557.07$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.759538.9%37 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Fiona Crawley49c551.22$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7255351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fiona Crawley34c523.91$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.742,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julia Grabher65c498.65$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.149,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Julia Grabher62c485.24$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3950156.9%285 W · 216 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Fiona Crawley68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,75050.2%878 W · 872 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Julia Grabher69c416.24$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5917167.8%116 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Julia Grabher78c373.94$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.472,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Fiona Crawley36c353.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.411,52243.9%668 W · 854 L-26.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Fiona Crawley45c349.07$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0869239.5%273 W · 419 L-28.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b79…4742backed Julia Grabher69c310.47$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Fiona Crawley40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.961,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Julia Grabher63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11157944.2%256 W · 323 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Fiona Crawley51c298.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3930338.3%116 W · 187 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Julia Grabher78c284.06$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5525263.1%159 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7498…8b4dbacked Fiona Crawley45c280.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.242030%6 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Fiona Crawley13c279.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3799551.6%513 W · 482 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Fiona Crawley50c239.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.631,06040.8%433 W · 627 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Julia Grabher62c230.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9110662.3%66 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…b03abacked Julia Grabher65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Julia Grabher40c221.44$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8710334%35 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Julia Grabher69c201.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.914153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Fiona Crawley38c197.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.782065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Julia Grabher65c196$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.25,60048.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L+10.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Julia Grabher67c192.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8333348%160 W · 173 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec0…13e9backed Julia Grabher80c191.61$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.463158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Fiona Crawley48c190.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.264,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Fiona Crawley25c181.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33,30340.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Julia Grabher63c173.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.824,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Julia Grabher51c169.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2526945.4%122 W · 147 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Julia Grabher67c167.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.356,58454.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L+286.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fiona Crawley48c162.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.12,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Julia Grabher53c161.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.823450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Fiona Crawley64c157.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Julia Grabher50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Grabher70c148.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.518,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Julia Grabher71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Julia Grabher59c135.68$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9980848.5%392 W · 416 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Julia Grabher74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1411766.7%78 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Julia Grabher73c131.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.884452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Julia Grabher72c121.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5134448.8%168 W · 176 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Fiona Crawley48c117.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.72,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Julia Grabher70c115.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6340146.4%186 W · 215 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Julia Grabher51c115$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3512846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Fiona Crawley44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505020%10 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Julia Grabher70c111.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.384969.4%34 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c90…c808backed Julia Grabher67c110.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.532171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Grabher70c109.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Fiona Crawley49c100.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1996645.5%440 W · 526 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Julia Grabher63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376075%45 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Julia Grabher52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efe…2e32backed Julia Grabher74c91.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821050%5 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Fiona Crawley60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03949.9%518 W · 521 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Julia Grabher61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24,08145.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L-30.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Fiona Crawley62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81,91759.3%1,136 W · 781 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Julia Grabher60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3276048.3%367 W · 393 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7954…8c27backed Julia Grabher60c77.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Julia Grabher68c76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1242052.1%219 W · 201 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Julia Grabher56c75.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2210048%48 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeed…3aecbacked Fiona Crawley37c74.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Julia Grabher61c74.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1461746.2%285 W · 332 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Fiona Crawley68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5099255.9%555 W · 437 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a2…f670backed Fiona Crawley41c58.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.