Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1b855b8c6f966ec3fbd76e0b33ec93f7c2d9190004e9951fabad5bc70ade04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 47c | 13,487$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.19 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 54c | 7,111$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.04 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…880abacked Yes | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…0302backed Yes | 51c | 4,881$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.52 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed Yes | 54c | 4,342$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.32 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 50c | 2,751$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 47c | 2,720$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.6 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 44c | 2,021$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.41 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 48c | 1,908$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.92 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 53c | 1,473$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 48c | 1,275$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.87 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed No | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 47c | 566.7$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…fd88backed Yes | 53c | 508$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 468.6$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…b11bbacked Yes | 54c | 465.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 46c | 407.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…ae70backed No | 48c | 383.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 46c | 381.12$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…1e19backed No | 47c | 363.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 51c | 333.94$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c1a4backed No | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…faa9backed No | 47c | 296.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 48c | 276.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 53c | 220.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 47c | 216.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…e020backed Yes | 53c | 163.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed No | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 52c | 123.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 48c | 122.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d922backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed No | 47c | 71.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed No | 47c | 63.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 54.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…20afbacked Yes | 34c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…3a00backed Yes | 47c | 42.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…11c3backed Yes | 54c | 42.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 48c | 40.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…9e48backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Yes | 48c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7339…5409backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…8856backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…65b3backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…2978backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…2b7ebacked No | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…1682backed Yes | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsthis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ shotsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ shotsYes won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 3+ shotsNo won
- Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.