TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs16c28,033$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410.320238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs14c13,597$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.131,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Spurs3c13,247$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44642827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs9c9,503$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.1734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Spurs15c7,953$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs13c5,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs12c3,034$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs1c3,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Spurs6c2,830$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Spurs8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…cae6backed Spurs13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs7c2,121$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.281,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs9c2,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9631125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Spurs12c1,950$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.984721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Spurs13c1,477$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.012015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Spurs6c1,450$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8719152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Spurs7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs11c1,384$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Spurs15c1,339$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs1c1,293$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.525502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5438…785cbacked Spurs14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs10c954.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Spurs13c950$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.515237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c0…6fa6backed Spurs12c871.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs12c853$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc135…9e9bbacked Spurs7c845.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Spurs12c834.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.29625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Spurs15c815.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs12c772.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Spurs30c728.27$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5838027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs13c720.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.691,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs14c705$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…1e74backed Spurs30c665.02$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.194238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs19c662.65$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5437011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Spurs8c615.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0820851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f1…c55ebacked Spurs13c594.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Spurs14c562.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9622733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Spurs14c535.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Spurs14c535.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Spurs14c526.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Spurs10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Spurs13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…bfc7backed Spurs14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb497…8c8ebacked Spurs11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs14c450$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0107…402bbacked Spurs13c446.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcabe…72e3backed Spurs10c445.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.911921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Spurs12c444$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7810720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder74c419.03$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Spurs14c413.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Thunder74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4130061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Spurs18c404.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.448947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Spurs14c392.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511138.7%43 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs12c349.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Spurs10c310$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.515613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Spurs11c301.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.087441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Spurs5c299.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625f…0821backed Spurs13c276.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Spurs16c265.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.626758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Spurs13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.523048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Spurs13c237.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19af…4d7ebacked Spurs13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Spurs14c225.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5671823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs12c213.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…1d32backed Spurs12c212.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257143.7%31 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Spurs13c211.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1119650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Spurs22c207.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Spurs17c206.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dd…c18fbacked Spurs6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Spurs9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832041.9%134 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Spurs14c183.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Spurs14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01d…e7eebacked Spurs7c165.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-71.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Spurs12c149.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1726041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Spurs14c149.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9894951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Spurs14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5895848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Spurs9c129$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6126040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b31…ac3dbacked Spurs16c123.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder71c122.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.031,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs9c116$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…95eabacked Spurs13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddb…756dbacked Spurs13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+50.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2799…ae03backed Spurs18c110.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Spurs14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Spurs19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Spurs13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b21…afbfbacked Spurs14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Spurs14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Spurs14c89.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.67935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.