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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Convictionof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dorado Gaming7c3,273$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.762,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dorado Gaming30c2,972$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.081,27237.6%478 W · 794 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Conviction70c2,747$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.011,54854.8%849 W · 699 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Dorado Gaming30c2,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72850336.6%184 W · 319 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Conviction70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dorado Gaming12c1,374$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5252046.5%242 W · 278 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Dorado Gaming19c1,112$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.329535.3%104 W · 191 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction70c855.23$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.432,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Conviction69c788.78$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.521,20644.7%539 W · 667 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e30…c14dbacked Conviction70c768.98$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1710944%48 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dorado Gaming26c648.21$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.643,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6c…98dabacked Dorado Gaming9c599$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed Dorado Gaming33c499.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16318535.7%66 W · 119 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Dorado Gaming3c499.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9723234.9%81 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Dorado Gaming31c452.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.395125.5%13 W · 38 L-9.9wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dorado Gaming10c408.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51,48938.4%572 W · 917 L-44.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9abf…95fabacked Dorado Gaming31c387.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Conviction73c327.09$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7316848.2%81 W · 87 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Dorado Gaming20c324.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.461,27340%509 W · 764 L-69.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dorado Gaming5c319.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582,08830.6%639 W · 1,449 L-176.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Conviction71c305$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4520958.4%122 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Dorado Gaming30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8212138%46 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Conviction69c288.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.46952.2%36 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed Conviction71c281.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.989864.3%63 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dorado Gaming17c231.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731,02245.4%464 W · 558 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dorado Gaming31c231$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1459134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x592d…43dbbacked Dorado Gaming31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Dorado Gaming12c216.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.143246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dorado Gaming9c204.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441,66643.9%732 W · 934 L-76.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Conviction68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6419343%83 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Dorado Gaming29c193$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.98545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Conviction72c192.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861,97142.5%837 W · 1,134 L-43.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Dorado Gaming30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction68c153.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.172,57247.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L-36.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Dorado Gaming31c143.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6212627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Conviction70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8646250.9%235 W · 227 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dorado Gaming15c129$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6992349.9%461 W · 462 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Conviction68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.311250.9%57 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Conviction69c114.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4222857%130 W · 98 L+21.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Dorado Gaming28c107.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2648751.5%251 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Dorado Gaming31c103.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.117237.2%64 W · 108 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Conviction69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3117463.2%110 W · 64 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Dorado Gaming30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041251%210 W · 202 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5926…e20abacked Conviction70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dorado Gaming11c95.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481,21339.6%480 W · 733 L-44.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Dorado Gaming31c94.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,94037.1%720 W · 1,220 L-117.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Dorado Gaming32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dorado Gaming18c92.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.231,12947.8%540 W · 589 L+2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Dorado Gaming33c79.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2453849.4%266 W · 272 L+29.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Conviction77c78.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261,04254.8%571 W · 471 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Dorado Gaming14c77.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Dorado Gaming28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126243.1%113 W · 149 L-22.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Dorado Gaming30c67.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1510340.8%42 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Dorado Gaming31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.655732.3%180 W · 377 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec64…6eadbacked Conviction79c59.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ff…c7a8backed Dorado Gaming28c58.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dorado Gaming33c52.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3321746.1%100 W · 117 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…8b63backed Conviction69c50.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6713961.2%85 W · 54 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Dorado Gaming30c47.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9841651.4%214 W · 202 L+1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Dorado Gaming29c46.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3918741.7%78 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Conviction70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813449.3%66 W · 68 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Dorado Gaming31c43.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48441.7%35 W · 49 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Conviction68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.833652.1%175 W · 161 L+32.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Dorado Gaming31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126740.3%27 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Dorado Gaming27c37.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1865842.1%277 W · 381 L-56.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5111…a164backed Dorado Gaming32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+81.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Conviction71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711359.3%67 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Conviction72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.417562.3%109 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed Conviction70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577558.7%44 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Conviction67c28.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.282,38841%978 W · 1,410 L-56.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked Conviction70c25.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6215362.7%96 W · 57 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d89…2b45backed Conviction69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.135168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f66…0f71backed Conviction68c22.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.055242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Conviction79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.269658.5%407 W · 289 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…59debacked Conviction71c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.397557.3%43 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Conviction69c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551,55343.9%681 W · 872 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Conviction68c15.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8225259.5%150 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1745…a0b4backed Conviction71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Conviction70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Conviction77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.431662.7%198 W · 118 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef8…a646backed Conviction80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57100%7 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.