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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes31c17,742$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No68c8,416$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c6,468$4,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.841,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c6,425$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.262,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes20c3,654$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7306728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c3,345$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No65c2,130$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.941968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.08966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No70c1,820$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54610863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes30c1,573$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.896349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No70c1,571$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.6841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c1,570$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c1,570$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes12c1,352$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes46c1,293$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c1,203$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c1,158$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes31c915$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No60c881.33$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c756.87$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No70c685.71$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7126534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes41c675.02$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.545039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c656.96$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes30c544.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.331,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes35c538.46$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes33c534.91$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.529822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes52c520$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.44440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes32c454.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes19c437$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes36c385.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6757541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c376.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No69c359.45$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4326454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes31c345.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.01933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes32c345$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No73c294.6$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5418943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes31c277$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8711135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c268.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes39c267.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2842048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c245.19$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes28c242.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.872,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.423732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes31c237.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8316937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c222.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked No79c208.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5227154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c206.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6651429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes17c200.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c195.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes35c191$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes28c181.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517736.4%28 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes24c169.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c164.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No70c153$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed No77c149.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3910354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed No77c149.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.398651.2%44 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c145$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.591,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed No71c141.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.014667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes41c134.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes25c118.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306826.5%18 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes20c117.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1727538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No69c114$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No69c109$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.792646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No40c90$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No80c87.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes23c81.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.763229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No60c80.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3315059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc561…ab7cbacked Yes18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No69c67.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7613865.2%90 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…310abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes31c52.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.359443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No65c51.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.962479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…9b0bbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x840c…7450backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169434%32 W · 62 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc457…c88fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264f…1b98backed No69c48.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513732.1%44 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c48.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.