Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4801b3c632738fda69165c6d9dccf550810f97100792a0b9e8a93311429836b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 33c | 370.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.71 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 33c | 304.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.42 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 267.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 226.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 67c | 214$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 170.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 169.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 166.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 144.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 130.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 125.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 22c | 118.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 73c | 117.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 115.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 109.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 35c | 106.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 389 | 30.3%118 W · 271 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab7…dd3bbacked Yes | 37c | 103.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 97.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 97.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…6392backed Yes | 31c | 93.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 35c | 90.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 82.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 67c | 81.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 78.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…c040backed Yes | 35c | 78.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 67c | 73.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 71.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Yes | 47c | 70.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 440 | 58.2%256 W · 184 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 35c | 67.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 63.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 54c | 62.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 65c | 61.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 36c | 55.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 67c | 54.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…2aa0backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 67c | 47.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 71c | 46.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 45.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7722backed Yes | 35c | 41.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 52c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 32c | 38.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 32c | 36.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 33c | 36.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 43c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 70c | 35.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 34.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 34.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 44c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 67c | 33.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 49c | 32.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 67c | 32.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…58febacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 65c | 25.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 64c | 25.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…e014backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 68c | 19.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 68c | 17.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 65c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…35bbbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…8aadbacked Yes | 79c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.