MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cabc14f34b6c8f048d79a568686ed928aac4fb9a5271112cd5ff3b147d0393e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 56c | 10,070$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 6,519$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.84 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 5,840$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,346$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 2,210$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 39c | 1,551$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 1,115$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.62 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 849.91$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 49c | 833.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 641.12$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 44c | 571.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 62c | 515.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 407.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 364$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 328.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Under | 46c | 306.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 51c | 299.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 219.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 206.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 42c | 203.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 55c | 201.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 190.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 169.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 55c | 160.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 147.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 144.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 49c | 137.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 132.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 39c | 113.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 46c | 108.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 81.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 45c | 71.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 49c | 59.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 27c | 54.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 52c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…08bcbacked Under | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 40.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 38.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 74c | 37.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 68c | 29.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Under | 49c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 52c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…b313backed Over | 64c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.