Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a56475bb3f8c4c3cc01e1ce83d53bd018d349fe7494c3c3f76b94fae4997be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 26c | 497.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 46c | 437.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 54c | 382.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 46c | 370.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 38c | 247.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 50c | 239.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 78c | 222.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 47c | 216.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 202.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 193.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 189.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 57c | 184.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 33c | 168.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 167.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 42c | 147.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 53c | 133.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 58c | 131.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 54c | 116.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 55c | 115.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 39c | 101.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…a592backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…0284backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 99.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 67c | 97.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 53c | 94.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…ea86backed Yes | 40c | 91.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 70c | 88.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 86.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…f2b6backed No | 64c | 85.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 50c | 81.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 52c | 78.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 41c | 77.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 74.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 51c | 73.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 51c | 73.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 71.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 19c | 70.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…afa2backed No | 71c | 70.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…2213backed No | 42c | 69.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 68.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 38c | 67.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…e4e2backed Yes | 48c | 66.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 42c | 62.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 60.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 41c | 59.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 56.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…a602backed Yes | 52c | 54.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 54c | 54.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 51.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 48c | 50.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 59c | 44.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 65c | 43.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c9d2backed Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 58c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 36c | 42.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…e3d3backed Yes | 49c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 62c | 40.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 56c | 35.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 34.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…99e3backed Yes | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 30.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 49c | 30.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 39c | 30.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…268abacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…7455backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…85b3backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 53c | 28.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 42c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 49c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…aa8dbacked Yes | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…1aedbacked Yes | 54c | 27.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 55c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 40c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.