Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d752a9b86a1bf0e4488fd34f5d7c1137fb3dc2c062be8a86ec1560c2eb7947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 48c | 1,796$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.09 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 57c | 1,007$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.06 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 39c | 481.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 43c | 440.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 43c | 346$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 27c | 285.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 73c | 273.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 22c | 265.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 39c | 257.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 232.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 42c | 221.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 61c | 214$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 206.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 190$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 188.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 63c | 159.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 47c | 150.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 48c | 143.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 120.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 19c | 116.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 43c | 109.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 106.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 100.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 48c | 92.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 41c | 90.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 58c | 86.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 78.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 21c | 77.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 47c | 69.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 67.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 62c | 63.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 18c | 59.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 49c | 59.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 49c | 55.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 51.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 66c | 49.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 48.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 54c | 48.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 44c | 44.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 50c | 40.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 59c | 38.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…59c5backed No | 48c | 37.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 50c | 35.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 53c | 29.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…9922backed Yes | 66c | 29.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…140fbacked Yes | 60c | 29.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d2…4142backed No | 56c | 28.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 59c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 59c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 69c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 69c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…ea7dbacked Yes | 63c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 73c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.