MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f9a8c0c00626fc0cd07a9f31188dded243711eff30ff5640f9b97badf719f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Giants, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 8c | 10,000$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.75 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Giants | 2c | 5,620$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 63c | 4,994$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Giants | 35c | 4,489$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants | 52c | 3,844$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Mets | 65c | 3,623$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.05 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 35c | 2,851$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.74 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giants | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants | 36c | 2,217$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.25 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Giants | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Mets | 63c | 1,970$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 76c | 1,788$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 4c | 1,696$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 62c | 1,630$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.45 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 38c | 1,621$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Mets | 49c | 1,400$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 61c | 1,360$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets | 68c | 1,292$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 55c | 1,244$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 74c | 1,177$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 61c | 1,128$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 32c | 1,102$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.36 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 36c | 1,032$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.64 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 60c | 1,025$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.69 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Giants | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 33c | 919$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mets | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 64c | 699.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mets | 62c | 649.95$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Giants | 52c | 560$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 65c | 555.86$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Giants | 6c | 544$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Giants | 36c | 531.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 24c | 525.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 63c | 518$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Mets | 76c | 487.52$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 64c | 467.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Giants | 3c | 466.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Mets | 64c | 417.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Giants | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 35c | 349.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 35c | 349.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 64c | 319$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 35c | 299.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mets | 72c | 294.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Mets | 71c | 293$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Mets | 71c | 293$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Mets | 73c | 292$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Mets | 79c | 289.44$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Mets | 79c | 285$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mets | 79c | 284$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Giants | 28c | 246.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 64c | 233$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Giants | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 61c | 196.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 5c | 194.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 27c | 193.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Mets | 65c | 159.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Giants | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Giants | 35c | 148.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Mets | 64c | 145.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Giants | 44c | 131$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 36c | 129.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Giants | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Mets | 64c | 125.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Mets | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 21c | 122.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Mets | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Giants | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Giants | 37c | 107.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Mets | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Giants | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Mets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Giants | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c9…e5d5backed Mets | 45c | 97.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…63c8backed Mets | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…8104backed Giants | 37c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Giants | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Giants | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Giants | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Giants | 36c | 82.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…b4a2backed Mets | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.