Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fbff307ece13fa52671da51dccba275a5a67dc696ed7dae7858aca6ba83cc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,202$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 68c | 953.13$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.94 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 882.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.14 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 38c | 684.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 56c | 616.1$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 69c | 540.04$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 16c | 533.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 28c | 480$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 413.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 324$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 321.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…6f6dbacked Yes | 65c | 300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 38c | 276.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 33c | 239.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 42c | 228.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked No | 49c | 227.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 61c | 227.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…dcd2backed Yes | 9c | 225.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 45c | 193.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…5ae3backed Yes | 8c | 167.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 66c | 166.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 36c | 166.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 49c | 158.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 155.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 76c | 145.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 135.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…88a2backed Yes | 16c | 134.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 119$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…54c9backed No | 67c | 115.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 109$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 29c | 106.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 41c | 104.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 62c | 95.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 90.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 82.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 67c | 80.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 76.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 74.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 36c | 74.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 38c | 69.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 18c | 69.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 50c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 34c | 66.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 51c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 24c | 62.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 57c | 59.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 38c | 55.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 30c | 49.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 30c | 48.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 48.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 47.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 42c | 42.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…234abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…65fdbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 80c | 39.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 36.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 56c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 64c | 34.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed No | 44c | 32.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked No | 77c | 30.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 45c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823a…61abbacked No | 66c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 60c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed No | 71c | 25.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 70c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 80c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 66c | 18.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.