Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Fajing Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4f189db3119763ef47be825c5300cea203047a07bfad8462af2d1273559793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilia Simakinof Ilia Simakin, Fajing Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Ilia Simakin | 75c | 32,490$24,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.92 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 21,297$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.88 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fajing Sun | 18c | 2,215$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Fajing Sun | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 1,823$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fajing Sun | 37c | 1,616$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.85 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Ilia Simakin | 63c | 1,608$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 1,588$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ilia Simakin | 62c | 1,373$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.36 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Fajing Sun | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 1,023$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.19 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Fajing Sun | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 18.6%27 W · 118 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 937.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Ilia Simakin | 80c | 626.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 599.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 595.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…b0bbbacked Fajing Sun | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Ilia Simakin | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Fajing Sun | 14c | 488.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 464.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Fajing Sun | 45c | 438.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ilia Simakin | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ilia Simakin | 79c | 379$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Fajing Sun | 37c | 341.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Ilia Simakin | 73c | 330.37$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilia Simakin | 63c | 291.27$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fajing Sun | 13c | 256$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilia Simakin | 76c | 254.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Ilia Simakin | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Fajing Sun | 37c | 234.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Fajing Sun | 18c | 221.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Fajing Sun | 38c | 221.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Fajing Sun | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Fajing Sun | 19c | 192.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 278 | 55%153 W · 125 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 171.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Fajing Sun | 14c | 138.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Ilia Simakin | 78c | 126.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Ilia Simakin | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 78%64 W · 18 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…d404backed Fajing Sun | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 108.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 107.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Ilia Simakin | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Fajing Sun | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…9f16backed Fajing Sun | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fajing Sun | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Fajing Sun | 28c | 99.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 348 | 54.3%189 W · 159 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Fajing Sun | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 95.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 92.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Ilia Simakin | 70c | 86.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ilia Simakin | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Fajing Sun | 38c | 79.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 72.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Fajing Sun | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ilia Simakin | 78c | 68.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Ilia Simakin | 70c | 65.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Fajing Sun | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Fajing Sun | 44c | 58.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fajing Sun | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 54.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Ilia Simakin | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fajing Sun | 20c | 50.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ilia Simakin | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Fajing Sun | 33c | 41.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ilia Simakin | 64c | 41.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ilia Simakin | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Fajing Sun | 42c | 38.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Ilia Simakin | 59c | 38.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Fajing Sun | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Fajing Sun | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Ilia Simakin | 70c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ilia Simakin | 63c | 27.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Ilia Simakin | 60c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ilia Simakin | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Ilia Simakin | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ilia Simakin | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Ilia Simakin | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.