Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Muller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6416f26cb56dd788fcb1d8b34e90f26c5cc710d36df713be83b932933544b674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Rei Sakamoto, Alexandre Muller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Alexandre Muller | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 28,174$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,424.38 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Rei Sakamoto | 60c | 23,207$13,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,393.96 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 20,480$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,313.87 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Alexandre Muller | 13c | 20,000$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 7,812$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.49 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller | 41c | 7,177$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.26 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…b1f1backed Alexandre Muller | 14c | 4,649$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed Alexandre Muller | 35c | 2,500$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 2,095$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.69 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alexandre Muller | 42c | 2,035$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.35 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Alexandre Muller | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 25.9%51 W · 146 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 1,481$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alexandre Muller | 39c | 1,261$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 1,256$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.81 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rei Sakamoto | 67c | 1,236$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexandre Muller | 2c | 1,072$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 1,014$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.01 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alexandre Muller | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rei Sakamoto | 72c | 866.67$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alexandre Muller | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Alexandre Muller | 2c | 709.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alexandre Muller | 40c | 670$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Alexandre Muller | 18c | 551.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 263 | 30.8%81 W · 182 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandre Muller | 6c | 432.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Alexandre Muller | 23c | 424.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 334$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexandre Muller | 41c | 318.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Alexandre Muller | 41c | 306.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 303.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Alexandre Muller | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alexandre Muller | 8c | 272$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 270.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 264.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Alexandre Muller | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandre Muller | 36c | 246.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 219.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Alexandre Muller | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Alexandre Muller | 43c | 187.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Alexandre Muller | 9c | 184.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 172.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 155.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 150.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 310 | 53.5%166 W · 144 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Alexandre Muller | 37c | 143$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Alexandre Muller | 17c | 127.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Alexandre Muller | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 116.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…bdd3backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 113.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Alexandre Muller | 42c | 112.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Alexandre Muller | 19c | 88.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Alexandre Muller | 37c | 81.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…64f2backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 77.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Alexandre Muller | 24c | 69.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Rei Sakamoto | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 63.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2d1ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rei Sakamoto | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Alexandre Muller | 28c | 58.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 52.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Alexandre Muller | 23c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | -32.9wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 48.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 830 | 56.1%466 W · 364 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Rei Sakamoto | 62c | 38.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rei Sakamoto | 77c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Alexandre Muller | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Alexandre Muller | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Mullerthis page
- Set Handicap: Sakamoto (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)Sakamoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.