MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7fe74ff2193cfbe7229e78e9cdeebb9290f47fca6cdc08574746978695adea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 45c | 97,205$43,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,615.17 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 44,888$24,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,199.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 11,869$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 55c | 7,100$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 6,677$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 46c | 3,107$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.29 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 2,457$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.18 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 2,151$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 2,072$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 1,347$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 44c | 892.31$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.62 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 741.15$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 710.23$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 676.71$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 641$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 603.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 598$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Over | 4c | 587.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 545.04$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.82 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 541.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 528.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 56c | 520.87$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 45c | 463.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 446.75$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 378.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Under | 42c | 358.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 75c | 288.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 55c | 267.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 241$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 220.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3561backed Under | 57c | 218.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Under | 20c | 202.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 187.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 55c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 43c | 167.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 163.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 148.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 44c | 143.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 138.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 126.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 44c | 117.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 117.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 100.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 57c | 98.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 47c | 97.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 48c | 94.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 46c | 89.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 74.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 72.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 72.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 50c | 71.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 62.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 61.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 55c | 60.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 44c | 59.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 42c | 59.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 47c | 59.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 58c | 53.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 44c | 52.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 49.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 46c | 46.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 44.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…870dbacked Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Under | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 32.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 42c | 32.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.