Us Politics · resolved market
Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c095902b035f8dc87ccecdd42d6d7cb83d9fed345b2533b70eed1b0fd758340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 0c | 4,129$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 76c | 2,134$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 40c | 1,200$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.07 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 30c | 1,048$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 4c | 777.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 60c | 765.21$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 24c | 688.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 5c | 669.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 37c | 417.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 71c | 360.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 304$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 36c | 279.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 226.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…bf67backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 64c | 181$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 27c | 173$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 60c | 157.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed Yes | 72c | 147.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 28c | 118.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 69c | 92.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90d…a7debacked No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…681fbacked No | 59c | 68.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…081ebacked Yes | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…4f5cbacked Yes | 62c | 62.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…9680backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…2398backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 36c | 35.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…45cdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 37c | 28.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…b734backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 67c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.