Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3d7d1ee59fb11a7ad1248a2145fc3faaab155313ef77d0bb7cce168f84653c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 17c | 5,294$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.18 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 17c | 5,219$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.37 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 5,110$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.11 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 7c | 3,817$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 2,618$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 64c | 2,200$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.83 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,577$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.31 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 890$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 885$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 5c | 834.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 17c | 793.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 65c | 653.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 626.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 17c | 520.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 364.37$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 361.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 304.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 279.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 277.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 23c | 277$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 7c | 210.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 29c | 195.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 119.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 107.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Yes | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 70c | 102.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…be65backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 97.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 90.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 80.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 79.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 27c | 62.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 56.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 29c | 48.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 29c | 34.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 72c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 33.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 33.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 33.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 27.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 72c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 63c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 22.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 71c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.