Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e17df45116f49871f1b45c8494fd1d301c0353e87cf4cc39c327d5f29d1f5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f63…42f2backed Yes | 1c | 12,350$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 0c | 10,113$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 0c | 4,526$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,442$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…c6fbbacked No | 78c | 1,373$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.13 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 2c | 907.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Yes | 4c | 751.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 440 | 58.2%256 W · 184 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…c514backed Yes | 36c | 700.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 618$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…4deabacked Yes | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 289 | 25.3%73 W · 216 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…efd5backed Yes | 42c | 545.87$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 11c | 512.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 20c | 511.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 36c | 455.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…27a2backed Yes | 22c | 419.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 553 | 36.7%203 W · 350 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 22c | 406.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 32c | 364.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 340.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 319.95$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 269.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…65e9backed Yes | 4c | 252.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 250.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…5eefbacked No | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…1cc2backed Yes | 34c | 235.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 227.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 225.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…a7fdbacked Yes | 14c | 211.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…15a2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 7.4%6 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…4444backed Yes | 27c | 199.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…a2b8backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…33fdbacked Yes | 20c | 197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 308 | 32.5%100 W · 208 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 189.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 186.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked No | 60c | 182.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…b638backed Yes | 31c | 170.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 154$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 148.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 135.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 12c | 130.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…8484backed Yes | 34c | 126.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2327backed Yes | 10c | 125.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 44c | 114.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…7fbebacked Yes | 29c | 111.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 102.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 77c | 98.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Yes | 25c | 85.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 43c | 84.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 19c | 79.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 45c | 72.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…9362backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed Yes | 24c | 62.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 58.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…cafebacked Yes | 35c | 55.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…284cbacked Yes | 21c | 54.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 33c | 51.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 70c | 47.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…8cd5backed Yes | 21c | 46.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…f921backed Yes | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed Yes | 41c | 41.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…428cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…0629backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 76c | 21.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 68c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…9ce1backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.