Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a35a19cf81cc2f74d96e5203feb8e8325069cc34eb86bb58f07e4db79ca9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 37c | 2,763$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.05 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 40c | 1,285$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.77 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 73c | 502.84$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 39c | 468.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 43c | 391.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 42c | 372.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 307.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 42c | 275.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 241.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 239.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 80c | 230.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 213.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…7508backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…cc13backed Yes | 41c | 199.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 193$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 51c | 155.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…c935backed Yes | 22c | 144.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed No | 60c | 143.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 40c | 138.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 57c | 127.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 126.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 125.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 105.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 104.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 35c | 99.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 46c | 94.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 26c | 90.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 90.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 31c | 89.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 88.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 65c | 80.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 68c | 75.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 24c | 74.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 62c | 69.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 64c | 69.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d640backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…d0bcbacked Yes | 34c | 61.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 58.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 48c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 54.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed Yes | 40c | 52.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a1c7backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 50.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 32c | 49.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…3de5backed No | 61c | 48.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 48.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 62c | 46.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 46.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed Yes | 38c | 45.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked No | 75c | 45.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 44.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 39c | 41.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 41.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 30c | 41.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 28c | 41.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…79a1backed Yes | 37c | 37.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed Yes | 36c | 37.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 37.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 61c | 35.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 48c | 35.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 37c | 32.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 62c | 30.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 61c | 30.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 70c | 29.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed No | 55c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 72c | 26.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 42c | 24.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 63c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 62c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed No | 71c | 17.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.