Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Mary Stoiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8944e02b19994be977ddd4d365fb626c23b2d559fba27cc953ec933aa1256113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mary Stoianaof Katie Swan, Mary Stoiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Mary Stoiana | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.97 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katie Swan | 38c | 13,871$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.65 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Mary Stoiana | 49c | 6,300$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.97 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Katie Swan | 43c | 6,287$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.9 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Katie Swan | 51c | 5,484$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.91 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mary Stoiana | 63c | 4,845$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.4 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Mary Stoiana | 79c | 4,160$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.6 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katie Swan | 44c | 3,854$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.65 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…1874backed Mary Stoiana | 58c | 2,889$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Mary Stoiana | 50c | 2,828$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Katie Swan | 48c | 2,553$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.17 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Katie Swan | 40c | 2,408$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Mary Stoiana | 71c | 2,205$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.02 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Katie Swan | 33c | 2,085$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.87 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Mary Stoiana | 55c | 2,017$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.34 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Mary Stoiana | 52c | 1,122$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mary Stoiana | 56c | 1,091$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.03 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katie Swan | 34c | 1,076$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.45 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Katie Swan | 32c | 751$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +16.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Mary Stoiana | 69c | 735.39$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Katie Swan | 34c | 734.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Katie Swan | 42c | 570.29$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.53 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katie Swan | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Katie Swan | 45c | 488.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.32 | 254 | 51.6%131 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Katie Swan | 47c | 469.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mary Stoiana | 74c | 459.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Mary Stoiana | 72c | 432.23$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Katie Swan | 38c | 406.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Katie Swan | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Mary Stoiana | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Mary Stoiana | 71c | 329.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Mary Stoiana | 65c | 315.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Mary Stoiana | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Mary Stoiana | 59c | 308.27$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Katie Swan | 46c | 305.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mary Stoiana | 61c | 305.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Katie Swan | 51c | 304.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mary Stoiana | 77c | 273.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Katie Swan | 30c | 273$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mary Stoiana | 70c | 268$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Katie Swan | 48c | 253.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 300 | 51.7%155 W · 145 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mary Stoiana | 73c | 238.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mary Stoiana | 59c | 234.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Katie Swan | 54c | 234.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Mary Stoiana | 50c | 232.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Katie Swan | 30c | 225.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Mary Stoiana | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Mary Stoiana | 52c | 212$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Katie Swan | 50c | 199.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Katie Swan | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mary Stoiana | 67c | 160.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Mary Stoiana | 58c | 156.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katie Swan | 40c | 152.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Katie Swan | 20c | 140.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Katie Swan | 54c | 138.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Katie Swan | 45c | 130.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Mary Stoiana | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Katie Swan | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mary Stoiana | 78c | 121.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Katie Swan | 31c | 120.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Mary Stoiana | 66c | 119$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Mary Stoiana | 63c | 109.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Katie Swan | 38c | 109.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mary Stoiana | 78c | 101.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Katie Swan | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Katie Swan | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Katie Swan | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Katie Swan | 49c | 98.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Mary Stoiana | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…9e55backed Mary Stoiana | 53c | 92.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Katie Swan | 15c | 88.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Mary Stoiana | 70c | 81.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Mary Stoiana | 64c | 77.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mary Stoiana | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Mary Stoiana | 62c | 76.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…72f9backed Katie Swan | 41c | 76.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Mary Stoiana | 71c | 75.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Katie Swan | 35c | 71.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Katie Swan | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mary Stoiana | 61c | 58.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Katie Swan | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Katie Swan | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Mary Stoiana | 57c | 52.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Katie Swan | 56c | 50.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Katie Swan | 40c | 48.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…13e9backed Katie Swan | 41c | 47.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Katie Swan | 40c | 47.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mary Stoiana | 57c | 46.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mary Stoiana | 60c | 45.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Mary Stoiana | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 176 | 88.6%156 W · 20 L | +40.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Katie Swan | 36c | 44.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Katie Swan | 36c | 43.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | -32.9wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Mary Stoiana | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mary Stoiana | 71c | 40.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Mary Stoiana | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Mary Stoiana | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Katie Swan | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Mary Stoiana | 65c | 33.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Katie Swan | 31c | 32.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Mary Stoianathis page
- Set 2 Winner: Swan vs StoianaStoiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.