Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d09a0e8f7d1d5600b7ee8a846513da0fa42839e6cab43f6a00414dcc39355d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 4,646$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 4,322$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 38c | 4,021$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.36 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 1,924$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.45 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked No | 27c | 696.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.51 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 60c | 659.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 656.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Yes | 41c | 630.17$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 70c | 491.69$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 28c | 453.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 435.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 58c | 420.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 397.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 11c | 365.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 31c | 276$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked No | 59c | 275$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…5208backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 22c | 234.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…798abacked Yes | 43c | 211.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 196.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 45c | 190.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 75c | 141.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 55c | 107.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…dae2backed Yes | 46c | 103.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…c18cbacked Yes | 31c | 96.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 80.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 56.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…0280backed Yes | 31c | 45.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…1874backed Yes | 41c | 44.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 42.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 48c | 38.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 40c | 35.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 72c | 35.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…062abacked Yes | 31c | 31.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…bafbbacked Yes | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 60c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…a0aabacked Yes | 77c | 15.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Second half draw?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?Yes won
- England to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.