Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0624011df7218d7754675e5a552cccbfe16f0b41c0a9d4b2b5177180cf1ce93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 65c | 10,027$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.21 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 3,199$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.31 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 2,430$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.03 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 35c | 977.73$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.52 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 64c | 887.8$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 780$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 683.48$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 65c | 636.94$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 68c | 586.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 544.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 537.02$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 529.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 37c | 528$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 67c | 499.92$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Yes | 68c | 481.14$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.39 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 430.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 33c | 427.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…b5e7backed No | 68c | 361.36$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 34c | 305.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 75c | 279.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…930bbacked Yes | 35c | 274.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 67c | 273.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 68c | 267$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 34c | 260.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 33c | 257.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 234.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 68c | 181.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 180.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 35c | 148.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 68c | 147.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 132.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 51c | 114.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 34c | 106.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 35c | 91.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 70.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 66c | 61.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 69c | 47.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Yes | 33c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…c40dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…4ce3backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 64c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 65c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 68c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?Yes won
- England vs. Argentina: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.