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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coleman Wongof Coleman Wong, Dusan Lajovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dusan Lajovic15c39,874$6,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.979,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Coleman Wong72c35,139$25,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,807.381,25046.2%578 W · 672 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Dusan Lajovic36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80013433.6%45 W · 89 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Dusan Lajovic35c16,501$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.5312846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Coleman Wong65c9,909$6,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.38766.7%58 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Coleman Wong67c6,300$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0796756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dusan Lajovic25c4,359$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.741,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Dusan Lajovic35c4,167$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.3333440.4%135 W · 199 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Coleman Wong65c3,642$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.623,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Coleman Wong67c3,433$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.8514153.2%75 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Coleman Wong65c2,131$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.911,79349.4%885 W · 908 L+62.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Coleman Wong66c1,737$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6915554.8%85 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed Coleman Wong69c1,694$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.365151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Coleman Wong65c1,541$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3514850.7%75 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Dusan Lajovic29c1,380$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.993,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Dusan Lajovic34c1,328$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.912,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Coleman Wong76c1,257$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1555351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Dusan Lajovic34c1,212$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1933636.9%124 W · 212 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b34…c6efbacked Coleman Wong67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Coleman Wong64c1,171$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.561,70950.6%864 W · 845 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Coleman Wong65c1,128$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.814060%24 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Dusan Lajovic35c929$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1542843.7%187 W · 241 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Coleman Wong67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5229362.8%184 W · 109 L+19.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Coleman Wong65c862.18$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.767856.4%44 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Coleman Wong77c637.54$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Dusan Lajovic33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Coleman Wong66c599.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20467431.5%212 W · 462 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Dusan Lajovic18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038721.4%83 W · 304 L+1.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Coleman Wong68c533.81$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.595,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Coleman Wong65c523$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9361746.2%285 W · 332 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Coleman Wong66c521.07$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.892,92539.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L-85.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Dusan Lajovic19c515.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812330.1%37 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Coleman Wong67c508.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.198561.2%52 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Dusan Lajovic33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e2…edc8backed Coleman Wong68c489.8$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.85100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Dusan Lajovic33c487$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7187650.3%441 W · 435 L+23.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Dusan Lajovic33c485.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2178552.9%415 W · 370 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa9…03c7backed Coleman Wong66c451.52$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Coleman Wong66c435.86$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1915456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Coleman Wong66c350.01$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.752,29642.9%984 W · 1,312 L+37.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Dusan Lajovic33c349.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2829642.6%126 W · 170 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Coleman Wong75c321.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6260641.3%250 W · 356 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf8…27cfbacked Coleman Wong66c318.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.185664.3%36 W · 20 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Coleman Wong65c314.42$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0527163.8%173 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Coleman Wong65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6993853.3%500 W · 438 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Coleman Wong66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Coleman Wong66c301.51$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5131257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Coleman Wong66c259.28$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Dusan Lajovic27c251.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678532.9%28 W · 57 L-11.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Coleman Wong67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.55259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dusan Lajovic32c244.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.314,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Coleman Wong65c228$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.825252.4%132 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Coleman Wong63c219$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.739452%205 W · 189 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7e67backed Dusan Lajovic35c218$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.310151.5%52 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Coleman Wong69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3926757.7%154 W · 113 L+17.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dusan Lajovic33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031555.9%176 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Dusan Lajovic18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3670930.2%214 W · 495 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Dusan Lajovic35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016847%79 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Coleman Wong66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831755.8%177 W · 140 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Dusan Lajovic35c194.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6824656.1%138 W · 108 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Dusan Lajovic32c189.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.671,16541.5%483 W · 682 L+25.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Dusan Lajovic13c183.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425931.7%82 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Coleman Wong68c181$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.514,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Coleman Wong77c174.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8399551.6%513 W · 482 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Coleman Wong66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5275461.8%466 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Coleman Wong66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.527058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Coleman Wong66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528561.2%52 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Coleman Wong66c151.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0224265.3%158 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Coleman Wong66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128951.9%150 W · 139 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Coleman Wong67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Dusan Lajovic34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502540%10 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dusan Lajovic33c140.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Coleman Wong65c118$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.33063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Dusan Lajovic33c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6398044.7%438 W · 542 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21fc…de4abacked Dusan Lajovic34c103.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.163336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Coleman Wong66c100.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6896645.5%440 W · 526 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Dusan Lajovic30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013441%55 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Coleman Wong66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Coleman Wong67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3345948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…675fbacked Dusan Lajovic33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Coleman Wong66c99.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.816075%45 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Coleman Wong64c97.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.193953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Dusan Lajovic35c93.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.813450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Dusan Lajovic33c90.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305020%10 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Coleman Wong66c86.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.743,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Coleman Wong69c86.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Dusan Lajovic35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018337.7%69 W · 114 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Coleman Wong66c85.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9339066.2%258 W · 132 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Coleman Wong64c82.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5346752.5%245 W · 222 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7375…d8d4backed Coleman Wong66c80.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.315844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Dusan Lajovic39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.215454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe357…50cfbacked Coleman Wong66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Dusan Lajovic33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dusan Lajovic33c70.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.167,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Coleman Wong67c67.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.165176.5%39 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Dusan Lajovic22c66.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.836,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dusan Lajovic32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Dusan Lajovic33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.846453%246 W · 218 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Dusan Lajovic33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814856.1%83 W · 65 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5238…be0dbacked Coleman Wong67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.