Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b45458932bd9d3d4ae2be25a9dc84abefeb3cc48a64aeceac5cb24d97c5e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 53c | 11,722$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 10,539$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.42 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 28c | 9,280$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 43c | 8,250$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 38c | 7,792$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 7,603$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 5,585$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.62 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 43c | 5,249$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 50c | 5,240$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 5,084$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.85 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 4,548$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.27 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 50c | 4,019$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 3,003$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 42c | 2,531$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 2,172$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.54 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 56c | 2,094$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 25c | 2,034$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.01 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 55c | 2,016$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 64c | 1,966$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 51c | 1,752$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 46c | 1,554$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 53c | 1,513$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 1,438$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 1,234$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.71 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 43c | 1,146$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 1,031$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.74 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 974.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.71 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 43c | 952.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 69c | 872.89$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 50c | 864.04$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 67c | 853.34$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 838.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 42c | 835$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 42c | 834.45$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.22 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 61c | 760$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 720.04$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 51c | 699.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…00b2backed No | 60c | 666.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 666.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 52c | 658.48$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 50c | 633.48$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.44 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 47c | 579.82$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 458.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 43c | 378.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 37c | 364.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 35c | 360.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 46c | 338$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 63c | 322.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 48c | 322$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 304$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 44c | 295.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 251.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 250.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…f376backed No | 51c | 235.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 78c | 205$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 41c | 203.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 200.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 37c | 181.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 45c | 180.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 165.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 28c | 159.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 149.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…2c01backed No | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 56c | 134.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 61c | 132.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 44c | 130.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 47c | 110.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 108.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 49c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 23c | 105.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 51c | 97.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 39c | 97.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 95.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 53c | 95.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 63c | 95.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 85.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 59c | 82.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 81.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 81.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 38c | 77.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 57c | 73.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yes | 49c | 61.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 49c | 59.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yes | 49c | 59.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 49c | 59.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 49c | 58.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.