Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e6c6a676cf47c5897d2ee36cb564b35b205aa1d83944b2d358aca6278639c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 55c | 732.53$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.44 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 19c | 517.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 36c | 501.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 461.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 433.62$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.22 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 58c | 267.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 68c | 215.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 41c | 215$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 621 | 46.2%287 W · 334 L | +40.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 56c | 209.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 557 | 42.5%237 W · 320 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 176.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…d145backed Yes | 41c | 170.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked Yes | 16c | 161.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 61c | 160.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 159.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 2,506 | 69.7%1,747 W · 759 L | +78.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 30c | 143.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 263 | 66.9%176 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 139.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 623 | 23.8%148 W · 475 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 78c | 138.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 577 | 44.9%259 W · 318 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 39c | 133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…3c03backed Yes | 24c | 128.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 122.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 116.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 60c | 114.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 41c | 113.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 59c | 112.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 887 | 49.5%439 W · 448 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 29c | 111.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 64c | 110.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 36c | 109.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 109.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 45c | 108.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 38c | 103.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 43c | 100.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 881 | 50.5%445 W · 436 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 298 | 32.2%96 W · 202 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 985 | 13.8%136 W · 849 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 97.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 92.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 87.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 86.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 82.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 260 | 38.5%100 W · 160 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 37c | 79.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 78.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 34c | 77.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 153 | 27.5%42 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…7a5ebacked No | 65c | 76.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 40c | 71.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 40c | 68.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…9633backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 855 | 35.7%305 W · 550 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 61c | 64.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 321 | 49.8%160 W · 161 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 42c | 62.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 65c | 62.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 61.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 56c | 60.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 59.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1,451 | 52.3%759 W · 692 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 39c | 59.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 39c | 57.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 61c | 56.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 71c | 56.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,417 | 65.2%924 W · 493 L | +59.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 44c | 54.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 40c | 54.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 63c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 166 | 68.1%113 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 52.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed No | 74c | 49.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked No | 52c | 47.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 38c | 46.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 60c | 45.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 412 | 74.8%308 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…6987backed Yes | 58c | 44.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 46c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 44c | 42.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 66c | 41.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,196 | 50.8%608 W · 588 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Yes | 45c | 40.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,615 | 61.9%999 W · 616 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…af6ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 39c | 39.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 36c | 39.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba8…aeadbacked No | 80c | 37.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 37c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 61c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 55c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 58c | 33.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 269 | 60.2%162 W · 107 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 54c | 32.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Yes | 34c | 31.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 46c | 31.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +22.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 30.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 37c | 30.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…1ca0backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.