Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df2ad2ae24134df29e92b716f5d617ebac53d35c34be7e461cee187307e8c98

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a98…1b92backed No	72c	3,700$2,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.41	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	36c	2,575$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	64c	2,314$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.4	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes	37c	1,892$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes	37c	1,889$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	63c	1,753$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.55	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	64c	1,440$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.02	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	68c	1,288$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.46	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	26c	1,181$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.06	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	29c	981.68$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.33	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Yes	36c	891$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.76	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	63c	751.16$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.93	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No	64c	558.47$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.48	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	33c	515.15$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No	63c	437.25$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.78	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes	37c	410$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.7	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Yes	37c	386.65$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.06	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	63c	366.66$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.89	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes	33c	350$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	63c	335.08$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.98	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes	32c	306.25$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7169…aaf5backed Yes	37c	264.86$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	105	26.7%28 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No	63c	256.55$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.93	195	45.6%89 W · 106 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	63c	244.34$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.9	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	67c	190.71$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.57	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	60c	180.71$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.77	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes	37c	175.68$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	272	39%106 W · 166 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	63c	173.74$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8096…5656backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x933e…901fbacked Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa683…14e3backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	16c	135.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x993e…44b4backed Yes	37c	128$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	67c	120.01$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.15	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	63c	120$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.4	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked No	74c	116$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb31c…e5a1backed Yes	37c	113.22$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	63c	110.98$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.96	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Yes	32c	109.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	29c	102.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Yes	37c	91.89$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes	37c	73.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	402	40%161 W · 241 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes	34c	72.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a13…588fbacked Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes	37c	61.03$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	63c	59.98$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…43ddbacked Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	31.1%28 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	67c	56$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed2…a059backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…00dcbacked Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea3…8b1dbacked Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…6c35backed Yes	34c	52.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	45cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes	37c	51.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d4…5f7fbacked Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda57…da88backed Yes	39c	46.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0f…d5dbbacked Yes	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Yes	35c	42.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	63c	41.05$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e85…4e03backed Yes	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes	37c	35.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked No	64c	32.31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	73c	25.62$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	66c	24.74$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea4…309abacked No	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	64c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.85	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico?this page
Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?Yes won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event