TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Royan: Felix Balshaw vs Lucio Ratti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucio Rattiof Felix Balshaw, Lucio Ratti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4698…d7a5backed Felix Balshaw69c5,745$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.9653655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Felix Balshaw59c3,180$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.213,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lucio Ratti43c3,034$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lucio Ratti40c2,453$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lucio Ratti42c2,152$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.688,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Felix Balshaw37c1,367$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4144949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lucio Ratti32c1,281$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.661,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lucio Ratti35c1,006$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lucio Ratti55c848.55$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.565,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucio Ratti66c661$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.184,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Felix Balshaw70c649.97$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Felix Balshaw18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Felix Balshaw51c490.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lucio Ratti45c444.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.524,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Felix Balshaw47c430$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.752341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucio Ratti43c429.89$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.583,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lucio Ratti38c423$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.264,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Felix Balshaw36c360.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.491,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Felix Balshaw63c341.82$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.327445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucio Ratti45c333.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.218,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Lucio Ratti51c332.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.472,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Lucio Ratti36c278.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.398740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lucio Ratti30c273.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.365,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Lucio Ratti73c204.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1716469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Felix Balshaw72c201.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Felix Balshaw20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011839%46 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Lucio Ratti49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10230844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Felix Balshaw70c192.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Lucio Ratti55c187.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.211,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Lucio Ratti29c176.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.887,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Felix Balshaw71c166.66$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.331,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Lucio Ratti61c162.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.31,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Balshaw39c157.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.356,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Felix Balshaw50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Lucio Ratti43c145.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.926134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Lucio Ratti38c145$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.938952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Felix Balshaw74c130.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.864,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Felix Balshaw69c129$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0118841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Felix Balshaw70c127.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8939254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Lucio Ratti38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.343750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Felix Balshaw61c114.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.611,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucio Ratti45c112.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.126,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lucio Ratti39c109.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.385,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Lucio Ratti30c106.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.555032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lucio Ratti37c104.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.651,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Felix Balshaw50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5226345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Lucio Ratti38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lucio Ratti45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Felix Balshaw47c98.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2869438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Felix Balshaw29c91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Felix Balshaw48c90.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4385348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Felix Balshaw69c90$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lucio Ratti29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.253,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Lucio Ratti57c73.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Lucio Ratti35c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.548637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Felix Balshaw71c69.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6369253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lucio Ratti30c67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Felix Balshaw54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.719941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Felix Balshaw33c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Felix Balshaw54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lucio Ratti39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Felix Balshaw55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Lucio Ratti30c41.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Felix Balshaw27c37.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lucio Ratti61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Lucio Ratti59c35.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.661,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Felix Balshaw61c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6310032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick
0x0afb…0b12backed Felix Balshaw62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209043.3%39 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Lucio Ratti47c31.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2681…cabdbacked Lucio Ratti65c30.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Felix Balshaw71c29.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lucio Ratti66c27.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.423,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Lucio Ratti51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2373748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Lucio Ratti41c26.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6978847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Lucio Ratti41c25.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2760651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Lucio Ratti69c22.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9820552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Felix Balshaw69c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x268b…e58fbacked Felix Balshaw58c19.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Felix Balshaw58c19.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Felix Balshaw73c16.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc098…c066backed Lucio Ratti64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bce…c696backed Felix Balshaw67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018072.8%131 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.