Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3bb5fb6fc1e06b5c86802f4de27ac2cffbd8ea847de5e0d4b65e95d1f0b605f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 921.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 44c | 753.73$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.59 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 38c | 422.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 19c | 335.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 13c | 320.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 26c | 292.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 287.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 283.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 35c | 229.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 41c | 219.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 10c | 218.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…68b5backed No | 59c | 206.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 203.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 197$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 39c | 188.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 186.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 162.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 66c | 154.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 139.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 48c | 123.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 75c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked No | 76c | 117.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed No | 75c | 101.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 47c | 96.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 66c | 95.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 49c | 94.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 68c | 93.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 86.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 43c | 85.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 28c | 83.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 64c | 77.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 34c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 74.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 73c | 73.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 27c | 71.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 35c | 69.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 68.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 29c | 65.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 17c | 63.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…46d5backed Yes | 32c | 63.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 74c | 63.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 45c | 59.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 31c | 59.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 75c | 57.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 70c | 56.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…8e36backed Yes | 27c | 55.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 53.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 51.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d4adbacked Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 24c | 50.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…c64ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…3fb1backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…cbbcbacked Yes | 40c | 49.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…6741backed No | 67c | 47.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 36c | 46.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfd…e9b6backed Yes | 29c | 44.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +247.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 78c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 40.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 68c | 39.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…6083backed No | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…966bbacked No | 78c | 35.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed No | 71c | 35.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…5da9backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed No | 75c | 33.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 32.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…5ae3backed Yes | 43c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 33c | 30.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 34c | 29.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 72c | 29.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 40c | 28.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed No | 70c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 67c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.