TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed No46c19,185$8,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.771291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+66.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2404035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c5,927$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.3498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70017740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes67c4,113$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.247074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No29c4,106$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.2218774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes60c3,487$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No32c3,250$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,21010840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c2,150$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c2,122$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.431,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes70c2,119$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.5399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes54c1,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No46c1,832$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.439268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No67c1,482$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No37c1,416$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.5792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No69c1,022$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes55c908.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.89520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes12c886$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.129726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes34c846.68$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.465440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes53c756$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.681,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No43c680$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.27974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c642.01$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes54c619.8$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes59c550$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No72c502.31$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes56c420.53$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.89070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes64c400$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes50c349.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.493327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No59c342.47$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes20c335.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes53c305.32$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.822955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd647…08a5backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes9c275$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No50c264.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No46c263.52$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.334238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No37c263.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes67c240$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes17c207$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.192646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c205.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.631,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…87e4backed Yes19c171.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes48c162$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.45733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No56c161$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c145.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Yes39c135.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.18119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-82.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No34c117.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.767659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Yes26c91.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No54c89.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.033265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No46c86.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes59c84.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed No37c80.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c80.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes54c78.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.536346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes50c78.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3616159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No76c64.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.099357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3212667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes26c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes19c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes62c54.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4319847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No63c49.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.337038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes26c48.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No41c47.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.027327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No26c45.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes31c45.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c44.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No79c42.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8717137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked No37c40.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.420449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c35.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes55c31.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.389345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes55c31.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.381637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes55c30.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.623951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c29.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c28.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes77c25.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.