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Cricket · resolved market

South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs South Africa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Namibiaof Namibia, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4b7…6008backed South Africa47c27,094$12,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,654.8935040.9%143 W · 207 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Namibia62c20,741$12,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.1636645.6%167 W · 199 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Namibia16c18,904$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,801.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0389…847bbacked Namibia64c16,876$10,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.8815858.2%92 W · 66 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed South Africa45c7,959$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Namibia66c5,593$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.845041.6%187 W · 263 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Namibia77c4,491$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.482263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked South Africa31c3,757$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.2651947.6%247 W · 272 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked South Africa57c3,283$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.0416134.8%56 W · 105 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed South Africa2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033415.6%52 W · 282 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+70.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Namibia55c2,195$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.2712038.3%46 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c7e…f896backed Namibia67c1,575$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Namibia78c1,328$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7090…a5ffbacked South Africa71c1,242$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.3421938.8%85 W · 134 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed South Africa71c852.75$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Namibia47c763.34$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6277351.6%399 W · 374 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa93c…16f3backed South Africa46c743.16$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.914158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed South Africa69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…76e5backed South Africa18c683.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.73219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Namibia57c612.16$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.165848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Namibia49c546$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7540644.3%180 W · 226 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2195…bce2backed Namibia80c527.57$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.512536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed South Africa52c527$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.720549.8%102 W · 103 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Namibia20c488.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.816545.5%75 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked South Africa45c482.25$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.434346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Namibia50c392.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7744544.7%199 W · 246 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked South Africa38c326.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1916266%107 W · 55 L+16.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe7…0c14backed South Africa19c300$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588435.7%30 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Namibia17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1223644.1%104 W · 132 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked South Africa72c292.1$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0416048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed South Africa30c287.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.413243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Namibia44c287.24$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.266850.7%339 W · 329 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed South Africa63c285.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5120863%131 W · 77 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked South Africa36c283.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7331249.7%155 W · 157 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Namibia19c268.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4218444%81 W · 103 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Namibia15c261$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.853221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Namibia54c236.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0643947.6%209 W · 230 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f71…711bbacked South Africa73c230.89$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked South Africa25c225.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.913831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked South Africa38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Namibia19c208.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Namibia16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed South Africa67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349651%49 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked South Africa56c192.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10833441.3%138 W · 196 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Namibia17c174.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7621338%81 W · 132 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked South Africa68c168$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.455623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+113.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked South Africa44c152.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2527341.4%113 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7007…7f47backed Namibia35c137.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…963ebacked Namibia28c124.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa09b…071ebacked Namibia50c122.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1510614.2%15 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed South Africa62c111.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.066524.6%16 W · 49 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed South Africa51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316043.8%70 W · 90 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Namibia17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837225%18 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked South Africa65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd294…7065backed Namibia51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a99…40d8backed South Africa55c94.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.911753.8%63 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc99…e38bbacked Namibia69c92.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Namibia32c85.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.520350.2%102 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Namibia19c84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed South Africa36c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6369131.1%215 W · 476 L+1.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…af64backed South Africa67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32c6…7eafbacked South Africa54c73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed South Africa39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.213338.3%51 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Namibia32c67.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.645236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a2d2backed South Africa62c66.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110562.9%66 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked South Africa73c61.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522946.7%107 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked South Africa70c53.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5825340.3%102 W · 151 L-16.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Namibia40c50.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.534365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac76…9359backed South Africa58c49.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…4b21backed Namibia35c48.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.372965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98fa…3528backed South Africa56c45.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed South Africa66c45.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9712047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…f280backed South Africa34c43.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Namibia51c43.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4324836.3%90 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked South Africa78c40.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.929551.5%152 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d396backed South Africa63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1cf…de94backed South Africa27c36.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked Namibia56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7110953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…a6edbacked South Africa50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56426.6%17 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Namibia64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2511269.6%78 W · 34 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf277…ba06backed South Africa78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed South Africa76c23.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed South Africa75c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520143.3%87 W · 114 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Namibia63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked South Africa57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34bb…2fe1backed South Africa69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.