TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Todi: Alex Barrena vs Lukas Neumayer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Barrenaof Alex Barrena, Lukas Neumayer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer12c54,925$6,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.4811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer12c40,078$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.198,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Alex Barrena79c10,141$8,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.467544%33 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Lukas Neumayer2c5,123$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.214032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Alex Barrena33c4,315$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.2939043.6%170 W · 220 L+21.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Lukas Neumayer1c4,036$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3621563.3%136 W · 79 L+18.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Barrena69c3,153$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.138,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Alex Barrena52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.335360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Lukas Neumayer14c2,659$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3561940.7%252 W · 367 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Alex Barrena77c2,289$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.045957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Neumayer24c2,204$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.314,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Lukas Neumayer1c2,101$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lukas Neumayer67c2,091$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.513,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Lukas Neumayer67c2,020$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Lukas Neumayer2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40500%0 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lukas Neumayer7c1,224$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.044,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Lukas Neumayer6c1,200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696527.7%18 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Neumayer43c1,116$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.472,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Alex Barrena75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0434854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Lukas Neumayer34c913.59$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.621,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Alex Barrena75c852.34$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3247858.4%279 W · 199 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Alex Barrena65c753.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8527655.1%152 W · 124 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer20c752.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.79,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Lukas Neumayer20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lukas Neumayer42c705.95$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.011,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lukas Neumayer21c652$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.928,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Lukas Neumayer6c616.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer40c607$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.395,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Lukas Neumayer10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Lukas Neumayer10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Lukas Neumayer10c599.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lukas Neumayer17c471.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.484,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Lukas Neumayer3c431.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6839747.9%190 W · 207 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alex Barrena65c404.4$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.011,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Lukas Neumayer49c402.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.962,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed Lukas Neumayer9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Lukas Neumayer9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Lukas Neumayer8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lukas Neumayer35c360.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.413,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Lukas Neumayer34c309.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Alex Barrena64c301.83$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.711,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Lukas Neumayer15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Lukas Neumayer4c283.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7231654.4%172 W · 144 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Lukas Neumayer15c280$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Lukas Neumayer67c267$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8927744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Lukas Neumayer15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915437%57 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lukas Neumayer21c257$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.716,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Lukas Neumayer10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Alex Barrena52c206.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9727755.6%154 W · 123 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Lukas Neumayer36c202.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8115742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Lukas Neumayer67c202.02$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3584349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Lukas Neumayer6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Lukas Neumayer10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alex Barrena43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.12,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Lukas Neumayer34c199$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6640136.4%146 W · 255 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Alex Barrena74c190$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.616248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alex Barrena33c164.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Lukas Neumayer39c161.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.678942.7%38 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alex Barrena64c157.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6680558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Alex Barrena39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8527943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lukas Neumayer67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Alex Barrena33c139.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7986635.5%307 W · 559 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Lukas Neumayer48c128.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6650341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Lukas Neumayer28c128.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Lukas Neumayer15c126.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6357645.7%263 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lukas Neumayer36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lukas Neumayer36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lukas Neumayer26c124.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.431,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Lukas Neumayer49c115.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1411858.5%69 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Barrena51c111.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Lukas Neumayer47c110.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8322339%87 W · 136 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Alex Barrena49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0493258.5%545 W · 387 L+22.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lukas Neumayer20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lukas Neumayer68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.991,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Lukas Neumayer42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Alex Barrena57c96.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9248947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Lukas Neumayer60c89.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.685455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b2…11babacked Lukas Neumayer43c89.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.213327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lukas Neumayer61c88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.681,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lukas Neumayer36c86.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Lukas Neumayer13c85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2426640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lukas Neumayer36c77.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.933,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Barrena51c70.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.882,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lukas Neumayer53c69.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Lukas Neumayer48c67.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8615760.5%95 W · 62 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alex Barrena32c67.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.627,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Lukas Neumayer64c63.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9410146.5%47 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alex Barrena32c62.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.495,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Lukas Neumayer42c62.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Lukas Neumayer49c59.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241,00250.2%503 W · 499 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lukas Neumayer66c59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2360341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Lukas Neumayer36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,00138.4%384 W · 617 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lukas Neumayer21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lukas Neumayer21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Alex Barrena33c45.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3712639.7%50 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Alex Barrena33c45.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3711837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lukas Neumayer36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Alex Barrena33c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1567745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Alex Barrena51c42.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9742130.2%127 W · 294 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Lukas Neumayer43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817657.4%101 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.