TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Spurs16c50,000$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,849.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings70c40,228$28,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,169.6947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Spurs3c27,154$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.783435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs17c17,607$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.0980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs32c8,447$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.5533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs13c6,833$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs33c5,050$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Kings69c4,728$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.6824151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Spurs30c4,360$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.464731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Kings67c4,313$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.1317546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs30c4,266$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.7633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs2c4,230$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.358783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Spurs33c4,220$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.625833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings68c3,343$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs32c3,251$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.2446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Kings68c3,221$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.873250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs30c3,102$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Spurs34c2,939$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.289247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bf3…326bbacked Kings62c2,220$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Kings69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings69c2,000$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.331,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Spurs31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Kings63c1,998$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2517943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f69…d037backed Spurs31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs7c1,915$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x509e…eaeebacked Kings70c1,907$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Kings70c1,851$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.352462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs34c1,775$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Kings69c1,620$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.220851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs32c1,585$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs3c1,477$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Kings70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5727163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Spurs43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings73c1,336$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs37c1,300$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.265,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Spurs31c1,276$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Kings68c1,240$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1114057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings63c1,230$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.11,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings62c1,216$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8466744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec05…5fb3backed Kings69c1,087$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Spurs31c1,080$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Spurs30c955$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.519147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings71c940.69$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Spurs41c935.65$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8512254.9%67 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Spurs2c875.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs2c816.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.167502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs34c700$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23751037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings69c681$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e1…6410backed Kings61c641.29$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Spurs48c531.12$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-69.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Spurs33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Spurs30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Spurs33c483$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.786129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac9…70b0backed Spurs38c469.06$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x921e…5acbbacked Kings70c454.5$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Spurs36c419.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15245647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Spurs10c404.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3f2…a661backed Spurs34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Spurs28c394.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Spurs35c387.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Spurs32c374.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.973868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Spurs32c373.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.394055%22 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings65c370.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.061,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Spurs36c366.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Spurs33c340.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Kings62c324.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2719145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs30c310$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Kings67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Spurs34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Kings70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Kings71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Spurs22c267.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Kings67c254.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1250453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Spurs30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Kings57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7361…22dfbacked Spurs32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…08ddbacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e2…89babacked Kings67c237.31$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Spurs32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Spurs43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs12c227.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Spurs32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515244.7%68 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2b…aab9backed Spurs31c197$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Kings69c185.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs34c179.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Kings69c171.57$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5427546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Spurs31c165.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.24755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Kings67c162.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.