NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd622ba7d974976b8f3c4d00fe591f2f9010c3b6d6ab4d6f58c1e33b38f8b3df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 15c | 33,195$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,051.1 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 40c | 22,835$9,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,590.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 25c | 21,108$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,873.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 16c | 16,300$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.96 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Thunder | 38c | 14,261$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.39 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 17c | 14,064$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,672.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Timberwolves | 15c | 13,178$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,177.59 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 24c | 10,420$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.68 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves | 1c | 6,845$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.55 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 12c | 6,573$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.53 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 15c | 5,400$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Thunder | 62c | 4,965$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.32 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 4,226$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 16c | 4,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.65 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Timberwolves | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Timberwolves | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Timberwolves | 17c | 3,607$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.9 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Thunder | 11c | 3,294$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 3c | 3,000$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.5 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Timberwolves | 5c | 2,990$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.2 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 2,750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 2,382$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.88 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 10c | 2,202$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.67 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Timberwolves | 3c | 2,026$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.82 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.29 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 1,770$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.79 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,743$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,672$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.16 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Timberwolves | 13c | 1,594$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 15c | 1,535$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,498$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 1,430$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.25 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,354$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Timberwolves | 15c | 1,351$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.72 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.83 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 20c | 1,230$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.59 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…9e2ebacked Timberwolves | 3c | 1,195$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 29c | 1,121$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.56 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Timberwolves | 15c | 1,020$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,000$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Timberwolves | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Timberwolves | 16c | 994.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.17 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Timberwolves | 16c | 971.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.19 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Thunder | 79c | 927.22$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 38c | 899.15$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.47 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 65c | 831.42$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.32 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Thunder | 11c | 777$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 15c | 764$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.38 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 704.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.56 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 700$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…0b8cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 666$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 629.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Timberwolves | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Timberwolves | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Timberwolves | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 19c | 622.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…d95abacked Timberwolves | 16c | 618.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…7599backed Timberwolves | 17c | 612.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +318.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…b22bbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 602.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Timberwolves | 16c | 580.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.64 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 557.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Timberwolves | 19c | 529.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed Timberwolves | 6c | 503.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Timberwolves | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Timberwolves | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 499.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Timberwolves | 27c | 470.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Timberwolves | 31c | 464.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Timberwolves | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Thunder | 45c | 435.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 423.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Timberwolves | 8c | 400$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Timberwolves | 16c | 375$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Timberwolves | 14c | 350$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…910fbacked Thunder | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…fb93backed Timberwolves | 17c | 340.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Timberwolves | 15c | 334.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.74 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…f179backed Timberwolves | 17c | 317.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…1319backed Timberwolves | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Timberwolves | 21c | 309.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 13c | 308.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Thunder | 65c | 303.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Timberwolves | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…3c65backed Timberwolves | 17c | 298.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 298.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.